Hockey Analysis for the Thinking Fan
 

Hockey content on Behindthenet.ca

  • Apr 29 2013 Toronto Maple Leafs Suck Nhl Playoffs - "The Toronto Maple Leafs made the playoffs despite being massively outshot. Leafs coach Randy Carlyle would have us believe that a lot of hitting made up for poor puck possession. They're winning,..."
  • May 7 2012 Nhl Ot Shot Rates - I like this plot - differing incentives:"
  • May 4 2012 Playoff Scoring Rates 1988 2011 - I thought this was moderately interesting - 5-minute moving average over the last 25 years:"
  • Apr 17 2012 Zone Shift Masters - A deeper look at zone starts. "
  • Apr 16 2012 Goon Icetime Or What Coaches Really Think Of Their Fight First Players - "
  • Apr 14 2012 Behindthenet Ca Playoff Stats Are Up - "Not just individual player stats and team stats, but also game-by-game stats:"
  • Apr 9 2012 How Good Were Your Projections - "Back in July, I asked you to project the final point totals in the Southeast division. And how did you - and Tom Awad's Vukota - do?"
  • Apr 1 2012 Where Are Your Allegiances For The Last Western Conference Playoff - Let's get a show of hands here...Who do you love in the West?"
  • Mar 31 2012 Dave Feschuk This Aint Baseball Billy Beane Helps To Watch The Game - "
  • Mar 20 2012 Winnipeg Jets Home Ice Advantage - "
  • Mar 19 2012 Does It Take Different Amounts Of Time To Assess A Players Talent - "
  • Mar 12 2012 Impact Of Last Change On Quality Of Competition - The venerable @Woodguy55 asked me a question about the shots against portion of the quality of competition metric - remember that QualComp is the time-averaged shot differential of a player's..."
  • Mar 11 2012 Fight Breaks Out At Chicago Symphony - This one's for all the haters who say that hockey is too violent."
  • Mar 9 2012 My Aimless Commentary Not The Real Post Game Thread - I'm traveling for work this week - bad timing given that the Canucks game is one of only four games the Jets play West of the Mississippi this year. I found out during today's all-day meeting that..."
  • Mar 9 2012 Impact Of Back To Back Games On Game Tied Goals And Fenwick - "Friend of the blog Rich Pollock asked me how rest affected a team's performance. I wrote about this long, long ago, but I only looked at individual stats and not at actual team shot rates. (I also..."
  • Mar 5 2012 Why A Teams Record When They Score 3 Or More Goals Is An Utterly - "A couple of days ago, I saw this run past me on the Twitter: "The Blues are 32-0 when they score 3 or more goals."Now that sounds like a great record, but is it that out-of-the-ordinary? Here..."
  • Mar 3 2012 Brian Burke And Mike Milbury On Advanced Stats In The Nhl - "The MIT sports analytics conference is always on my birthday, and it just seemed like a sad way to spend it when they invited me to appear on the hockey analytics panel. That, and I'm way too cheap..."
  • Feb 29 2012 When Did The Nhl All Star Game Become A Total Joke - "I know I'm a month late on this, but the NBA's joke of an All-Star Game made me wonder when the NHL All-Star game went off the rails. Certainly, offensive levels skyrocketed in the early 1980s: "
  • Feb 28 2012 How Much Did Dale Tallon Improve The Florida Panthers - "The 2010-11 Florida Panthers finished with 72 points and their off-season was dominated by stories of the team going bankrupt, moving and also failing to have enough salary on the books to meet the..."
  • Feb 27 2012 Empty Net Time - "I looked at this briefly last week, but I wanted to offer slightly more data. Here are team averages over the last four seasons in the last five minutes of regulation:"
  • Feb 24 2012 Stu Hackel Week On Arctic Ice Hockey Stats We Think The Nhl Should - "Ultimately, Stu Hackel wasn't asking for very much - for the most part, he wanted the NHL to post stats that it already tracks on its website, or possibly cut a finer slice of the stats that it..."
  • Feb 24 2012 Goon The Movie - "I got a sneak peek at GOON earlier this week, and now that the film is released, my review is posted. This movie resonated with me for several reasons:"
  • Feb 23 2012 Stu Hackel Week On Arctic Ice Hockey Bringing It All Together - "
  • Feb 22 2012 Stu Hackel Week On Arctic Ice Hockey Time Of Possession Attack Zone - "Stu's first request: "Time of possession. When you watch an NFL game, you?ll often get a graphic that shows which team has had the ball the most. (I?ve seen this during English Premiere League..."
  • Feb 21 2012 Stu Hackel Week On Arctic Ice Hockey Six On Five Situations Stats The - "Stu says: "Six-on-five situations. NHL stats do an excellent job of breaking down the game and ice time when play is 5-0n-5, 5-on-4, 4-on-4, 4-on-3 and so forth. But there are no stats for when a..."
  • Feb 20 2012 Stu Hackel Week At Arctic Ice Hockey Special Teams Trends Stats The - "Here's Stu: "Special teams trends. NHL.com tracks season-long power play and penalty killing stats. But as on the standings page where you can find a team?s record for its past 10 games, how..."
  • Feb 19 2012 Elliotte Friedman Gives A Shout Out To Offensive Zone Starts On Hnic - Here's the video - sorry you have to watch a 15-second commercial to see a 30-second clip - CBC should fix that:"
  • Feb 17 2012 Stu Hackel Week On Arctic Ice Hockey Faceoff Specifics Stats The Nhl - "Stu wonders: "Face-off specifics. This is one of the NHL?s best areas of stats-keeping, but it can get even better. It would be helpful to learn where the face-offs are won and lost, because one..."
  • Feb 16 2012 Stu Hackel Week On Arctic Ice Hockey Posts Hit Aka Stats The Nhl - "Stu Hackel wonders: "Hit posts. The stats now include shots on goal, blocked shots and shots that miss the net. But what about the ones that hit the post? They are noted in the real time..."
  • Feb 15 2012 Stu Hackel Week On Arctic Ice Hockey Improved Shooting Accuracy Stats - "Stu asks: "Improved shooting accuracy. We only have a stat for shots on goal. Play-by-play sheets note which players had shots blocked and who missed the net, but the totals are not compiled ..."
  • Feb 14 2012 Stu Hackel Week On Arctic Ice Hockey Penalties Drawn Aka Stats The - "Stu Hackel wonders: "Who draws penalties. Real time play-by-play notes when a player is penalized. Knowing against whom he committed an infraction would be a very useful stat to compile..."
  • Feb 13 2012 Stu Hackel Week On Arctic Ice Hockey A Manufactured Controversy And - "As I thought through the implications of Stu's piece asking the NHL to start tracking various statistics, I couldn't help notice how nicely it dovetailed with what we talk about on this site. ..."
  • Feb 13 2012 Stu Hackel Week On Arctic Ice Hockey Man Games Lost To Injury Stats - "Stu writes: "Man games-lost to injury. I wrote about that stat last week, and it?s one that teams make available to the media, but no one is certain how consistent the numbers are team to team...."
  • Feb 11 2012 Nhl Injuries And Scratches 2005 06 To Present - I just uploaded a dataset for anyone who's interested in to play with: http://behindthenet.ca/scratches.txt. These are the official reported regular season scratches since the lockout."
  • Feb 9 2012 Enemy Made Stu Hackel - "Stu Hackel, aka the biggest hack you've never heard of, wrote an incredibly dumb piece in SI that showed him to be completely unaware of the stats recorded at behindthenet.ca and then asked the NHL..."
  • Feb 8 2012 Game By Game Fenwick Goal And Faceoff Zone Start Charts Now Up For - The full list of player charts is available at http://behindthenet.ca/player_charts/Player_list.html. Here's Zdeno Chara's url: http://behindthenet.ca/player_charts/Players_2011_131.php?ming=1...."
  • Feb 8 2012 Fun With Charts Alex Ovechkin Before And After Dale Hunter - "For the year, Alex Ovechkin has a 48.1% Fenwick ratio and a 47.4% goal ratio (GF/[GF+GA]). Since Dale Hunter took over, Ovechkin's Fenwick ratio has been just 44.5%, while his goal ratio has been..."
  • Feb 8 2012 Alain Vigneault Going For A Record With Manny Malhotra - "Alain Vigneault abhors Manny Malhotra in the offensive zone. But he's been taking it to new heights this season - as you can see from the chart, Vigneault has been steadily reducing Malhotra's..."
  • Feb 8 2012 Has Stu Hackel Ever Visited The Internet - "Stu weighs in at SI with "Stats the NHL ought to keep."Let's see if he has any crazy ideas:"
  • Feb 7 2012 Game Preview Make Sure Your Elderly Neighbor Can Find His Leafs - "
  • Feb 6 2012 Five Season Quality Of Competition Leaders - "As you may (or may not) know, we calculate Quality of Competition for NHL players by averaging their opponents' Corsi shot differential rates across all of their head-to-head ice time. While..."
  • Feb 5 2012 A Primer For Advanced Stats Need Your Input - Even my friends and family have been telling that the documentation on behindthenet.ca sucks. Guilty as charged - a lot of what I've posted there is stuff for personal use that basically all of..."
  • Jan 30 2012 Yet Another New Feature At Behindthenet Ca - "
  • Jan 30 2012 Another Tasty Upgrade To Behindthenet Ca - "
  • Jan 27 2012 Fenwick Rankings At All Star Break - "With the All-Star lull, I thought I'd check in on Fenwick rankings. Our top four teams are basically locked in, with Chicago and San Jose jumping up one spot each as Vancouver drops slightly. The..."
  • Jan 23 2012 Visiting The Enemy Phoenix Not The Florida Panthers - "My friend Steve lives in Dallas and has been suggesting a hockey road trip for months (years, really). I've seen more than enough games in LA, San Jose, Vancouver and Calgary, so we debated where..."
  • Jan 22 2012 Quoted In Ny Times On Fighting - I talked to Jeff Klein a couple weeks ago about the idea that fighting does anything for the game. I have a couple of brief quotes."
  • Jan 18 2012 Help Populate Our Blogroll - We've been really lazy about keeping our links up-to-date here. So I'd like some suggestions for:"
  • Jan 17 2012 Finishing Talents Of Forwards Home And Road - I looked at the difference between the finishing talents of 1st- and 4th-liners last week and reader jeffgm suggested that home and road data might show the impact of line-matching on goal-scoring...."
  • Jan 15 2012 Slight Modification To Bw Charts On Behindthenet Ca - I made a slight modification to the BW charts in order to make them faster to generate and upload. Here's 2011 game 20001 in the new format. The old versions are no longer available on the site -..."
  • Jan 13 2012 Range Of Finishing Talent Between 1st And 4th Line Forwards - "In case you weren't aware, fourth line players don't possess the same scoring touch as their first line counterparts. "
  • Jan 11 2012 Weekly Fenwick Power Rankings - Sorry! I forgot to do this last week...So these aren't exactly weekly."
  • Jan 8 2012 Bruins Historical Rank After 38 Games - "The Boston Bruins are leading the league in both shooting percentage and save percentage, which has left them with the second-best goal differential through 38 games since the lockout (the 2005-06 O..."
  • Jan 3 2012 Pdo Streaks And Season Long Performance Spreads - Explaining how PDO usually has a way of evening itself out."
  • Jan 2 2012 The End Of Versus Network - Some touching reminiscences from Puck Daddy. "
  • Dec 31 2011 Stream Of Consciousness Some Hockey Related New Years Resolutions - "It has been an auspicious quarter for New Years. First we had to start signing our checks 5772 right at the end of September, then 1433 rolled up with Halal pizza right around (American)..."
  • Dec 27 2011 Weekly Fenwick Power Rankings - I'd like to take a look at our weekly Fenwick (aka Shot Differential) Power Rankings. (And I hope you can make use of the information here to make some solid bets...and for a good look at the best..."
  • Dec 26 2011 Fenwick Timelines For Every Nhl Game 2007 08 To Present - "I liked Ben's idea from Saturday so much, I bought the company. If you go to any team page, say 2009-10 Colorado Avalanche, you can now click on any game to see Ben's chart for that game. For..."
  • Dec 25 2011 A Shot Differential Christmas Present For Yall Adding On To Bens - "Ben did some nice work with the Penguins-Jets game yesterday, and he put another great idea into my head. Here's an example:"
  • Dec 20 2011 Pdo Regression To The Mean Or Why You Should Ignore Shooting - Explaining why you should ignore player shooting percentages."
  • Dec 19 2011 Fenwick Power Rankings - "One of the great things about shot differential (when the score is close) is that it stabilizes after a very small number of games. Fenwick ratios don't capture the entirety of a team's ability,..."
  • Dec 16 2011 Does 30 Games Of Not Scoring Mean Anything - I went back through all of the post-lockout seasons and looked at teams that had truly horrible shooting runs over any 30 game stretch - 21 of 180 teams had shooting percentages less than 3.7%. ..."
  • Dec 13 2011 Statistically Speaking Winnipeg Jets - "
  • Dec 11 2011 An Opportunity To Win The Shot Quality Prize - "Quoth James Mirtle: "It's comical at this point how poor the Leafs PK continues to be. I don't even know what more there is to write on it after three years."Toronto's Save % at 4-on-5:"
  • Dec 10 2011 Holiday Jets Contest - Just wanted to remind everyone about our Holiday Jets Contest. Great prizes - be sure to send in your entry soon!"
  • Dec 9 2011 Can A Player Influence His Teammates Shooting Percentage - "I actually had one player, in particular, in mind - Mario Lemieux. I was talking to Eric T over at Broad Street Hockey today about playmakers driving their teammates shooting percentages and it..."
  • Dec 6 2011 The Nhls Strangest Divisions - "1967-68 to 1969-70: Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Los Angeles, Oakland, St. Louis, Minnesota "
  • Dec 5 2011 Holiday Jets Contest Amazing Prizes - "
  • Dec 1 2011 Goaltender Performance Relative To Shot Quality Stats Sheet Alpha - "Frequent commenter, hockey analyst and friend-of-the-site Mike Schuckers has a number of pieces about what he calls "Defense-Independent Goaltender Ratings."This is essentially a metric that..."
  • Nov 30 2011 Is There Streakiness In Even Strength Shooting Percentage - "I know many of you think that statistical analysis views all players as automatons, but we really only do that as an approximation to reality. One place where the approximation deviates somewhat..."
  • Nov 29 2011 Tyler Dellow And Agent Braggadocio - It's great to find a stats devotee...But sometimes they don't have the right stats. I looked at Hossa's agent's claims a while back too."
  • Nov 28 2011 Fun With Pdo - "I put together a massive undocumented stats sheet that, if you go through the pain of figuring it out before I document it, will let you look at individual and on-ice shooting and shot quality. ..."
  • Nov 28 2011 Bruce Boudreau Firing Makes No Sense - "I've never been a big fan of mid-season coaching changes - either you knew the guy wasn't doing what you wanted way before the season started, in which case you should have fired him then and done..."
  • Nov 26 2011 More Shot Quality Sortable Tables - "I added a handful of features to the "shot quality"tables, specifically on-ice shot quality (for and against) at 5v5, excluding empty net goals. Here are a few links:"
  • Nov 24 2011 Minnesota Signs 51 Year Old Goalie Secret To High Save Percentage - The real backup gets to MPLS airport 30 minutes before game time..."
  • Nov 24 2011 For Your Analysis Enjoyment Individual Shot Quality - "Just dashing this off before I have to start pretending to cook Thanksgiving dinner...Here's a first cut at individual shot quality numbers. It's totally not self-explanatory, I realize, but in..."
  • Nov 21 2011 Fenwick Page For 2011 12 Is Up And Running - "I added Fenwick tables for 2007-08 through 2010-11 yesterday, and I dropped the code into the daily data feed last night. Here's this year's data, which is updated daily:"
  • Nov 20 2011 New Stats Pages Fenwick By Game Score Alpha Version - "I think this is a sign that Fenwick/Corsi analysis has really taken hold. I've periodically posted Fenwick Tied numbers over the years, but it's only this season that people have started asking..."
  • Nov 16 2011 Is There A Truly Great General Manager In The Nhl - "I started bouncing this idea around in my head a while ago, and when I saw 'Moneyball', it became a lot clearer. Michael Lewis mentioned somewhere that he was worried someone would buy the rights..."
  • Nov 14 2011 Todd Mclellan Winning Two Faceoffs On The Power Play Virtually - "Todd McLellan defended his team's PK performance before Monday night's game against the Kings, noting that the Sharks had "done a lot of analysis"and that winning 2 or 3 faceoffs virtually..."
  • Nov 14 2011 Reasonable Expectations How Many Points Will The Minnesota Wild - "Minnesota is off to a hot start, with 21 points in their first 17 games. Their numbers don't look substantially different than they did over the last three years aside from their 5-on-5 save..."
  • Nov 12 2011 The Columbus Blue Jackets Are Not The Worst Team In The League - Let's take a look at Columbus' top-line stats over the last three seasons:"
  • Nov 10 2011 1st And 2nd Assist Bias - Our friend Rich Pollock from Illegal Curve asked an interesting question: what kind of bias do we see in assist totals? I'd been thinking about this since the Sharks' October 17 game against the D..."
  • Nov 7 2011 Todd Mclellan Internalizes Our Statistical Lessons - "I was just settling down to watch the Sharks-Kings game tonight and CSN Bay Area started in on the Sharks because they're "29th in the league on the penalty-kill."Now you know and I know that..."
  • Nov 5 2011 Oh Roy Macgregor How Do You Remain Employed - "Roy MacGregor and Bill James are the same age, so it's really inexcusable for MacGregor to be producing the kind of tripe that hit the Globe and Mail this morning (and the crap he wrote roughly a..."
  • Nov 1 2011 Help Wanted A Writer To Cover Game Previews Game Threads And Re Caps - "We're still running on a bit of a skeleton crew here, with writers borrowed from other sites, but it's time to expand. We're looking for someone to write the Game Previews and Game Threads (and..."
  • Oct 31 2011 Some Of You Have Inquired About Charitable Donations - "Or donations in general, or buying me a beer if I'm ever in your town. I won't turn down a beer, but if you feel like donating, I absolutely do have a favorite charity: Education in Need for El..."
  • Oct 30 2011 How Useful Is Raw - "You can't put too much stock in to plus-minus, here's why:"
  • Oct 29 2011 On The Perry Pearn Firing - "
  • Oct 28 2011 Pdo If You Were Going To Understand Just One Nhl Statistic - Why PDO is the most vital advanced stat you can utilize. "
  • Oct 28 2011 Today In Bad Stats - "the 49ers lead the league in offensive and defensive efficiency...the amount points scored per yard gained on offense. For example, the 49ers score a point every 10.87 yards they gain. They make..."
  • Oct 27 2011 With Apologies To The Weakerthans I Hate Shot Quality - "The notion of "Shot Quality"is hardly a new one. Alan Ryder probably published his first analysis of it ten years ago and he published his recall of it - because it's hopelessly overwhelmed by..."
  • Oct 26 2011 Scoring Chances For Nhl Game Number 20103 Carolina Winnipeg - Thanks to Landon Elhard for the effort!"
  • Oct 26 2011 Scoring Chances For Nhl Game 20083 Winnipeg Ottawa - Thanks to Gus Katsaros for scoring this game!"
  • Oct 26 2011 Scoring Chances For Nhl Game Number 20045 Winnipeg Chicago - Thanks to Angie (who's actually a Sharks fan!) for watching and recording these chances!"
  • Oct 26 2011 2011 12 Winnipeg Jets Scoring Chances - I'll keep this tracker up-to-date as the season progresses...Games without links were recorded by road scorers and may not be posted on the internet."
  • Oct 26 2011 Scoring Chances For Nhl Game 20055 Winnipeg Phoenix - Thanks to Sheldon for recording chances."
  • Oct 25 2011 Luck Vs Shot Quality In Shooting Percentage - "
  • Oct 24 2011 Shot Distance Allowed As A Team Talent - "
  • Oct 24 2011 Mark Scheifeles First Visit To The Nhl - Let's go to the videotape..."
  • Oct 23 2011 The Hazards Of Confidence - "This NYT piece isn't about sports, but it deals with the subject matter we cover on this site. First an admission from someone who examined the results of his experiments:"
  • Oct 18 2011 Impact Of Winning An Offensive Zone Faceoff Even Strength Vs Power - "
  • Oct 17 2011 Ok People Its Time To Be Real Fans - "It was tough to not get excited for the return of the Jets and I really, really tried to temper peoples' expectations by pointing out that even though you, dear readers, projected them to miss the..."
  • Oct 17 2011 Jared Diamond On Defense Independent Goalie Rating - "Famous writer says this allows us to "estimate how each goalie would fare not just against the shots he faced, but against the shots all the goalies faced?therefore putting them all up against the..."
  • Oct 15 2011 Steve Tambellini Did Better Than Stats - "Dave Staples tells us that "if Oilers GM Steve Tambellini had relied only upon Corsi plus/minus to determine which players to cut from last year?s team"he would have gotten rid of some of his best..."
  • Oct 15 2011 Bad Stats On This Very Site - "There was an ad at the top of my page that said something about not serving alcohol to anyone under 21. With (presumably) most readers of this blog living in Manitoba and Alberta, this makes no..."
  • Oct 12 2011 How Much Do Wins Cost - I often make reference to the value of a win - here's where those numbers come from:"
  • Oct 11 2011 Jets Canadiens Scoring Chances Game 20023 Jets Game 1 - Olivier from 'En attendant les Nordiques' did the scoring for Sunday's game - details are here."
  • Oct 10 2011 On Ice Shooting Percentage As A Player Talent - "
  • Oct 10 2011 Behind The Net Ca Is Up And Running For 2011 12 - "Stats are updated at 6 AM ET every day. We don't have every rookie in the database just yet, but we'll be there soon."
  • Oct 9 2011 This Is What Habs Fans Think About Your Winnipeg Jets - "If I was a detached observer, I might find Bruce's comments fair or reasonable. But I'm not, so let's kick the "Club de Hockey Canadien's"ass tonight!"
  • Oct 9 2011 You Know Who I Hate The Habs Theyre Gloating At This Link - It's ok. They'll never win another cup."
  • Oct 7 2011 Pavel Datsyuk Taketh Away But Giveth Not - I went through takeaway data [edit: even-strength only] for the last couple of years to see if there was anything useful there. (I used only road data because home data is awful - there's no..."
  • Oct 6 2011 Night 1 Of 2011 12 Nhl Hockey And The Stupid Already Hurts - "I know I'm nutpicking here, but still...Paraphrasing Mike Milbury on Philadelphia's 2-1 win over Boston: "Yes, this is a game they would have lost last year because of goaltending."
  • Oct 5 2011 Revisiting A Few Projections From Last Year - "I kind of slept through projection season this year, but I figured we might as well re-visit last seasons projections."
  • Oct 4 2011 Further To Keeping 18 Year Olds In Junior - "Let's go back to the 2009 offseason. Dale Tallon didn't get qualifying offers to Kris Versteeg, Cam Barker, Ben Eager, Colin Fraser, Aaron Johnson and Troy Brouwer. This essentially cost Chicago..."
  • Oct 4 2011 Recent Radio Appearances - "Just in case you don't get enough of my rhapsodic waxings, you can hear me on the radio:"
  • Oct 3 2011 Mark Scheifele Or Why An 18 Year Old Kid Should Be In Junior - Now I know Arby wants to see some exciting hockey this year and having Scheifele on the team would probably help out with that. But given that Arby also had to buy five years worth of season..."
  • Oct 3 2011 Ill Be On Team 1040 Am In Vancouver With Bmac And Taylor Today At 4 - Talking...what else? Hockey..."
  • Sep 25 2011 Contact Hockey Is Painful When Youre No Longer 19 - "I signed up to play in what I thought was a charity fundraiser last night. Turned out it was full contact hockey, and the other team thought it was full cheap shot hockey. At the end of the..."
  • Sep 25 2011 Jets Lose 4 0 To Carolina - "This game was played in a non-NHL arena in Charlotte, NC, so there are no stats available. David Aebischer started in goal for the Jets and looked awful - he has played only one NHL game in the..."
  • Sep 24 2011 Moneypuck In The Globe And Mail - Some nice press...More on the story tomorrow..."
  • Sep 24 2011 Moneyball And Moneypuck - "I went to see Moneyball on Wednesday, and even though I was predisposed to liking it, it was better than I expected. But it still had to make the story much more black-and-white than it really was..."
  • Sep 23 2011 Career Pp Points Leaders Since 1997 98 At Least - "Reader Imbroglio asked me if we had some data for career power-play point leaders. Somewhere, somebody has this data back to the dawn of time - for example, Wayne Gretzky's PP stats go back to..."
  • Sep 20 2011 Rosters For Wpg Cbj Game In Columbus - "The first Jets to step on the ice in an NHL game, exhibition as it may be:"
  • Sep 15 2011 Pete Stemkowski The Richest Man In Winnipeg - "Permit me a funny story...Stemkowski was the Sharks color guy for a while, and I had a chance to meet him back in 2003 or 2004. He said that when he signed his first pro contract for $7000 a year,..."
  • Sep 14 2011 Can You Win With The Worst Offense In The League - "If you're a long-time reader of this blog, then you probably know that my least favorite team is the San Francisco Giants (I like them even less than the Florida Panthers). As the 2011 Giants..."
  • Sep 6 2011 We Still Need More Scoring Chance Scorers - We still need scorers for 35 Jets games this season. Please email info at behindthenet dot ca if you're interested!"
  • Sep 2 2011 Needed Jets Scoring Chance Recorders For 2011 12 - "Derek Zona has scorers for nearly half the teams in the league this year, and we don't want to be left out. We need volunteers - email me at info at behindthenet dot ca if you're interested."
  • Sep 1 2011 Jets Announce Radio And Tv Crews - "Dennis Beyak and Brian Munz will be play-by-play announcers on TSN Jets and 1290 Sports Radio. Neepawa?s Shane Hnidy, fresh from a Stanley Cup win with the Boston Bruins and recently retired, will..."
  • Aug 26 2011 Shot Types And Shot Targets - "There aren't a whole lot of interesting outcomes from the shot target analysis I started earlier, so I thought I'd do a data dump for posterity. First, the distribution of shots by shot type in..."
  • Aug 22 2011 Shot Target Visualization - "We have a lot of information about where shots are taken on the ice, but we have precious little data about where shots end up on goal (as we saw last year, the Finnish SM-Liiga has location..."
  • Aug 22 2011 Need Chance Counting Volunteers - "We'd like the Jets to be part of Derek Zona's chance counting project, so we need volunteers to join his crew. Please email me at info at behindthenet dot ca if you're interested. Thanks!"
  • Aug 15 2011 Rick Rypien - We've always been huge fans of Rick Rypien on this blog and his death saddens us greatly. I'd like to repost a few pieces we've done about Rypien over the years:"
  • Aug 13 2011 Flames Sign Scott Hannan 1 Year 1m - "Smart, smart move. Hannan isn't that far removed from having a reputation as a shutdown defenseman...Maybe he still has it - if not, $1M is nothing these days."
  • Aug 12 2011 A Little Oilers Hate On My Vacation - "
  • Jul 29 2011 Time To Get Your Jets Tattoos - I'm not going to lie to you...I would not do this..."
  • Jul 27 2011 Further To Does Qualcomp Matter - "
  • Jul 25 2011 Mark Scheifele Projections And Comps - "
  • Jul 23 2011 Oilers Nation Radio Appearance Today - "Sorry for the late notice - I'll be on Lowetide's show some time between noon and 2 pm MT today, talking Jets and Oilers."
  • Jul 22 2011 Scheifele Vs Couturier Redux - "
  • Jul 20 2011 On Post Junior Success Or Couturier Vs Scheifele - "
  • Jul 19 2011 Nhl Arbitration Starting James Mirtle Reminds Us To Set Our Clocks - "James Mirtle has a list of arb-eligible players today. The Jets are arb-free with Blake Wheeler's signing, so the fun stuff will be the Parise and Weber deals.Although Mirtle mentions that these..."
  • Jul 14 2011 Fan Anger Which Nhl Team Do You Dislike The Most - "Simple question, complex answer."
  • Jul 13 2011 2011 12 Community Projections Southeast Division - "Well, readers, here's what you had to say about the SE Division - I've included Tom Awad's VUKOTA projections as a comparison:"
  • Jul 12 2011 Last And Least How Many Points Will The Florida Panthers Have In 2011 - Will they make their last season in Miami a good one?"
  • Jul 12 2011 Jets Nation Launches - "Welcome to our friends at Jets Nation - Cam, Robert, Kent and Jon! I don't know who this Wayne guy is on their masthead, but it's a bit of a sacrilege to be named Wayne in Jets country."
  • Jul 12 2011 Arctic Ice Hockey Becomes Required College Reading - At least in Marek Janicki's computer science class!"
  • Jul 11 2011 Community Projections How Many Points Will Carolina Have In 2011 12 - "Wait, Carolina is still in the league? Ok then, let us know how many points they're going to put up next year..."
  • Jul 8 2011 Community Projections How Many Points Will Tampa Have In 2011 12 - "We're going to run through the whole Southeast division. So far, you guys have predicted that Washington will get 111 points. How will the surprising Lightning do this season?"
  • Jul 7 2011 Reasonable Expectations Washington Capitals - Here's how Washington did in the regular season over the last three years:"
  • Jul 5 2011 Floridas Craziness And Dale Tallons Lack Of Imagination - Let's just take stock again of what Dale Tallon did over the last few weeks:"
  • Jul 5 2011 June 25 2011 Appearance On The Illegal Curve Hockey Show - I was on the show live for three hours. Enjoy!"
  • Jul 4 2011 Sharks Moves Taken In Sum So Far - The San Jose Sharks dropped nine players from their roster since the end of the season - I've included their new salaries in cases where they have new contracts. We also have Tom Awad's VUKOTA..."
  • Jul 3 2011 More Ho Hum Jets Signings - Tanner Glass. Derek Meech. Rick Rypien. Randy Jones. These signings bear some resemblance to the kinds the Jets made when they moved over from the WHA. "
  • Jul 3 2011 Brian Burke Pays 5 5m For Cody Franson - "Forget either of the other two players in the deal. Brian Burke took on $5.5M in salary and picked up the next four years of Cody Franson's rights. That extra salary is merely a business expense,..."
  • Jul 3 2011 Best Moves So Far - "There were lots of losers on UFA day, and the big winners were the teams that did nothing. Among those teams that did act a lot, let's pull out a few qualified winners:"
  • Jul 2 2011 Brad Richards Latest To Sign For Way Too Much Money - "The $6.5M annual price tag may not seem too onerous, but the nine-year term for a 31-year-old forward with an injury history who no longer matches up against top opponents? That's the crazy part. ..."
  • Jul 1 2011 Winnipeg Jets Finally Make A Move Free Agent Open Thread - "Two-way deal for Derek Meech. Happy Canada Day, Winnipeg!"
  • Jul 1 2011 Florida Thinking Inside The Box - Florida has been spending in drunken fashion in the last few days:"
  • Jun 30 2011 Reasonable Expectations And The Jets Way Forward - "As the Atlanta Thrashers, the Jets finished 25th with 80 points and a -46 goal differential last year. So three days ago, I asked you for your reasonable expectations for the Winnipeg Jets'..."
  • Jun 30 2011 Ehrhoff Not Worth 40m - "Like you needed me to tell you that. 40% of the time that Christian Ehrhoff was on the ice, the Sedins were there too. Ehrhoff got easy ice time - either the 5th- or 6th-softest on the team this..."
  • Jun 28 2011 Reasonable Expectations Winnipeg Jets - "Given that this team finished 25th in the league last season, I want people to have reasonable expectations for it. But let's first find out what they are!"
  • Jun 28 2011 A Big Thanks To The Illegal Curve Radio Team - "I really have to send a big 'thank you' to the Illegal Curve radio team. With the arrival of an NHL team, they finally had a major-league budget to fly me out to Winnipeg so I could be live in..."
  • Jun 26 2011 Regehr Vs Burns Or Why Setoguchi Was An Overpay - Let's look at two deals:"
  • Jun 24 2011 Flyers Yet Again Make No Sense - "
  • Jun 24 2011 This Team Needs A Name Ffs - "I've been in Winnipeg for less than 24 hours, and aside from the fact that I need a nap, one thing is plainly obvious: the team needs a name. Listening to ads on the radio, it's like those odd..."
  • Jun 20 2011 A New Era In Winnipeg Hockey And Hockey Coverage Begins - "You may have just noticed something a little different - after two years of writing and over fifteen years of waiting for the NHL to return to Winnipeg, Behind the Net Blog is no more. Today, we..."
  • Jun 19 2011 Canucks Success Impeded By Lack Of Goon - "Cam Cole does the opposite of enlightening us: "SO BITE ME: To those who wrote, obnoxiously and all-knowingly, excoriating the author for suggesting on opening night of the Canucks? season that..."
  • Jun 17 2011 Deshon Marmans Arrest Race Facade - "I suppose there are some people out there who've never been followed by a store detective for no reason, had the city bus drive past them without stopping or had someone in a position of minor..."
  • Jun 16 2011 Canucks Rioters Of Every Color Of The Rainbow Come Together - It's wonderful to see Vancouver's cultural mosaic fully participate in its tradition of rioting!"
  • Jun 5 2011 Rick Dudley Bought Out - "Contrary to rumors, I have not interviewed for the Winnipeg GM position...But I think it was smart for the new owners to start with a clean slate and the vision that they wanted..."
  • Jun 3 2011 From The Vault Gretzky Accuses Hawerchuk Of Deliberately Injuring Him - "
  • Jun 1 2011 Missing The Net Redux - "
  • Jun 1 2011 The Wandering Winnipeg Hockey Fan - "Before you get too excited, I went to high school with the reporter...I wasn't selected because I'm a high-value blogger target..."
  • Jun 1 2011 Epic Canucks Road Trip - Quite the story."
  • May 31 2011 Behind The Net Moves To All Winnipeg Jets Format - "The announcement everyone has been waiting for has finally been made, and it's time for our own announcement. Behind the Net has always been a Winnipeg Jets blog - our 15-year odyssey in the wild..."
  • May 27 2011 Buster Posey Its Not Baseball - "[Aside: here is the most pathetic defense of running over the catcher I can imagine, which prompted me to write this piece.]"
  • May 25 2011 Kent Wilson Takes A Look At Sis Article About Puck Possession - Do they or don't they? NHL GMs won't tell anyone their approach to tracking possession."
  • May 24 2011 The History Of Professional Hockey In Winnipeg Part Ii - "I'll come back to Part I at a later date - for now, Part II is much more interesting and much more instructive."
  • May 19 2011 More On Nhl Exchange Rates And Expansion - "
  • May 17 2011 On Hockey Returning To Winnipeg - "
  • May 14 2011 Likens On The Nhl Semi Finals - I have been remiss in not linking to Likens' great analysis."
  • May 14 2011 Likens On Team Effects And Even Strength Save Percentage - Great analysis here."
  • May 13 2011 Sharks Wings - I can't deny it - I'm emotionally invested in the success of the hockey team in my local market. Detroit and San Jose were about as evenly-matched as could be - one point apart in the regular..."
  • May 9 2011 David Staples On Dave King And Scoring Chances - Great look at how NHL insiders evaluate performance."
  • May 6 2011 The Impact Of Rest In The Playoffs - "Last Friday, someone was telling me that Detroit had an advantage over San Jose because they'd had more time off leading into their second round matchup (which didn't appear to be true). We always..."
  • May 5 2011 Second Round Home Ice Advantage - "Building on the results of our first round analysis on Monday, let's look at the results of the second round. First the frequency of each series won-loss state for the home team since 1986-87:"
  • May 4 2011 Fanpost Contest Winners - I am pleased to announce our winners in the first annual fanpost contest:"
  • May 3 2011 First Round Playoff Penalty Rates - "I know it looks like referees like to swallow their whistles in the playoffs, but the numbers don't look much different through the end of the first round relative to the regular season:"
  • May 2 2011 First Round Home Ice Advantage - "
  • May 2 2011 Fanpost Contest Please Vote - Time to vote people. Please check out the entries:"
  • May 2 2011 A Word From Our Sponsors - "Versus has graciously offered us some free stuff for our fanpost giveaway, so please be nice and click on some links:NHL On NBC and VERSUS Facebook - http://www.facebook.com/NHLonNBCandVersusT..."
  • Apr 30 2011 Threehundredeight - "I would be remiss if I didn't link to the wonderful Canadian election website, Threehundredeight. (There are 308 seats in the Canadian parliament, hence the name.) "
  • Apr 28 2011 Playoff Fenwick Score Tied Update - Not much movement here - Pittsburgh gets eliminated despite dominating Tampa..."
  • Apr 28 2011 Behind The Net Ca Introduces Player Cards - "Simple, straightforward, enjoy..."
  • Apr 27 2011 Canucks Hawks Wrapup - "Not much to say here. Chicago was seriously underrated going in to this series - they were every bit as good as Vancouver, and did not deserve to have just 38% odds to win last night. "
  • Apr 25 2011 Antti Niemi - "Antti Niemi's performance has followed an odd pattern - huge successes followed huge collapses. Here, we can see his road 5v5 save percentage after winning the Stanley Cup and signing his..."
  • Apr 22 2011 New York Times Ponderously Ponders The Future Of The Phoenix Coyotes - I didn't really get very far into this article - I got stuck at this b.s.:"
  • Apr 22 2011 Playoff Fenwick Score Tied - Nothing but a data dump today:"
  • Apr 20 2011 Anybody Know Where The Faceoff Dot Is - One thing I've noticed is that the NHL's official scorers aren't quite sure. Here's a plot of reported faceoff locations over the last ten seasons: "
  • Apr 18 2011 Time Spent In Empty Net Game States - "Overall, 1.2% of all regulation regular-season play is spent with the goaltender pulled. The breakdown of empty-net time by strength:"
  • Apr 18 2011 First Annual Fanpost Contest - "We here at Behind the Net have been accumulating swag all season for just one purpose: sending it out to our readers. We're running a fanpost contest through May 1 - everyone is eligible, one..."
  • Apr 18 2011 Montreal Gazette Interview With Olivier Bouchard - Olivier's second brush with fame!"
  • Apr 15 2011 Playoff Previews - "Here are previews from Behind the Net and friends:Kent Wilson, Sharks vs Kings: http://blogs.thescore.com/nhl/2011/04/14/san-jose-sharks-vs-los-angeles-kings-preview/Kent Wilson, Wings vs Coyotes:..."
  • Apr 13 2011 Nhl And Ahl Shootouts 2005 2011 - "The AHL gives us an interesting testbed for goaltending statistics - while the NHL gives very few reps to goaltenders who are below replacement level, the AHL is primary below-replacement goalies,..."
  • Apr 12 2011 Playoff Preview Chicago Vancouver - "
  • Apr 11 2011 An Abject Lesson For Dallas In The Law Of Averages - "On December 26, Dallas had 46 points and was at the top of the Western Conference. New Jersey had 20 points and looked to be cruising to a last-place finish. So I polled you guys and asked you to..."
  • Apr 10 2011 I Dont Think Ive Ever Agreed With A Beindthenethockey Article And As - I wanted to bring you a comment I got in response to Frequently Asked Question #11: Luck in the NHL:"
  • Apr 9 2011 What Drives Power Play Success - "
  • Apr 8 2011 Frequently Asked Questions 13 The False Dichotomy Between Stats And - "
  • Apr 7 2011 The Sharks Penalty Kill Will Be A Question Mark For The People Who - "The more Sharks games I watch, the more dumb things Randy Hahn and Drew Remenda say. Tonight, the Sharks gave up four power-play goals in the first two periods, so of course they've got a really..."
  • Apr 6 2011 I Dont Read Any Statistical Analyses The Game Isnt Played On Paper - "
  • Apr 4 2011 Who Has The Best Pp In The League - "I was watching the Sharks-Ducks game on Saturday and the Sharks announcers - I'm not going to lie, I don't think they know what they're talking about most of the time - said "San Jose has the..."
  • Apr 4 2011 Leafs Early Season Projection - From: Gabriel Desjardins"
  • Apr 2 2011 Vancouver Canucks Playoff Preview - "Vancouver had a very good team last season, and when they added Dan Hamhuis, Keith Ballard and Manny Malhotra, they made huge strides in the defense department. Vancouver was justifiably the..."
  • Apr 2 2011 San Francisco Chronicle Publishes Its First Nhl Article Of The Year - "Anaheim a 'team of destiny'? They're 27th in the league in shots for, 26th in shots against and depending on Ray Emery. I think the correct term is *lucky* or perhaps '4-and-out'."
  • Apr 2 2011 Why No 4v4 Stats On Behindthenet Ca - "Percentage of time spent at each strength by the home team, first 58 minutes of the game, 2007-08 to 2010-11:"
  • Apr 1 2011 The Outcome Of The Shot Quality Prize - "Since I announced the Shot Quality prize almost three months ago, a lot of people have offered some very convincing research on the topic, and I have to say that my point of view has come full..."
  • Mar 31 2011 Mlx Skates - "Straight from Winnipeg to my hands. I am super-excited to try my first pair of non-Bauers in...well, as long as I can remember. Saturday afternoon will involve sharpening them and molding them to..."
  • Mar 30 2011 The Significance Of Tagging A Shot As A Scoring Chance - "
  • Mar 30 2011 Left Handed Shots In Hockey And Of Course They Got The Story Wrong - There was a piece in the San Jose Mercury News yesterday on left-handed shots in hockey. Some insight:"
  • Mar 28 2011 Some Columbus Blue Jackets Analysis - "Once a year, this blog has something on it about Columbus. This is it. Enjoy."
  • Mar 25 2011 Frequently Asked Questions 12 Score Effects - "
  • Mar 25 2011 Data And Self Analysis - "My old roommate (who happens to be a world-class triathlete) collects a lot of data in his life. This time, he recorded how long he slept every night for the last three years."
  • Mar 23 2011 Frequently Asked Questions 11 Luck In The Nhl - "
  • Mar 22 2011 Manny Malhotra Out For The Season - "If you've read this blog for any length of time, you probably know that Manny Malhotra is one of my favorite players. This is an awful story - he got hit in the eye with the puck - and I really..."
  • Mar 21 2011 2 On 1s Breakaways And Shootouts - I think we all owe a debt of gratitude to the bloggers who've decided to record NHL scoring chances. The pseudonymous Leafs scorer Slava Duris has been kind enough to record odd-man rushes and..."
  • Mar 20 2011 The Next Time Somebody Tries To Tell You Journalists Arent A Bunch Of - "I'm not going to give knuckle-dragger Bruce Jenkins any links, so I'm sending you to McCovey Chronicles' response to Jenkins' idiocy. "
  • Mar 18 2011 Nhl Conference Parity Or Lack Thereof - "
  • Mar 16 2011 Shot Quality Prize Redux - "I have to say that I'm disappointed that we got zero entries for the 'Shot Quality Prize.' Hell, we didn't even get an outline of a research piece. I suppose Derek Zona and I are both a little..."
  • Mar 14 2011 How Does The Defensive Shell Work - "You've probably seen charts like this before - as we get further into a game, Fenwick percentage drops significantly for the home team when they've got the lead in the 3rd period:"
  • Mar 13 2011 Behindthenet Ca Bug Check - How is the site working? Let me know of any bugs in the comments."
  • Mar 12 2011 Appereance On Illegalcurve Hockey Show - The IC guys put me on the spot a little this morning."
  • Mar 9 2011 Feb 19 2011 Appearance On Lowetides Show On Nation Radio - "Lowetide has a great radio show - now that they've got audio archives up, there's tons of material for you to listen to..."
  • Mar 7 2011 Bad News For Leafs Fans And Good News For Habs Fans - "I wanted to take a quick look at team Fenwick percentages with the score tied, at home (where shot overcounting may come into play) and on the road, where it's much less significant."
  • Mar 6 2011 Derek Zona On The Psychology Of Delusion - "And man, do the Avs suck"
  • Mar 4 2011 Further To In Season Momentum - "Previously, I looked at the predictive value in the first round of the playoffs of a particular number of games working backwards from the end of the season. I wanted to run the same test in both..."
  • Mar 4 2011 Quisp Reads La Times Finds Their Basketball Writers Dont Get Hockey - "Yes, California hockey beat writers don't even know what a screen is."
  • Mar 3 2011 Who Are You Going To Bet On In The East - An OT win last night puts the Leafs four points out of a playoff spot that seemed unimaginable a month ago. So who's in play for the last two playoff spots in the East?"
  • Mar 2 2011 An Open Letter To Sharks Fans - "The 2010-11 San Jose Sharks have averaged 73.0 shots on goal per 60 minutes at 5-on-4 so far this season. That's #1 in the league by a wide margin, and #1 over the last four seasons, also by a..."
  • Feb 28 2011 What Does It Take To Be A Goon - "In the hey-day of gooning it up, Tiger Williams frightened his opponents and rode his stick - at 5'11, 190. Dave Schultz was a solid 6'1, 190. That's the same size as noted pugilist Daniel Sedin...."
  • Feb 26 2011 The Extra 2 - "Jonah Keri was nice enough to send me an advance copy of his new book, The Extra 2%. His book details how a Wall Street management group took over the Tampa Bay Devil Rays from Vince Naimoli and..."
  • Feb 25 2011 Where Did Wade Redden Sheldon Souray Mike Commodore And Michael - "This is one of the best stories I've read in a while. I'd love to see a follow-up in a paper with more space, but it's still genius."
  • Feb 24 2011 What Do Nhl Gms Think Is Replacement Level Goaltending - The market for NHL goaltending has undergone a significant shift over the last few years as total goaltender salary has dropped over 20%. Teams have been able to find quality goaltenders like J..."
  • Feb 24 2011 Who Will Break The Western Conference Logjam - "We currently have eight teams within four points of each other, trying to wrap up the bottom four playoff spots. Goal differential says Chicago and LA are the best of the bunch, while Dallas,..."
  • Feb 24 2011 James Mirtle On James Reimers First 15 Games - "I don't know why nobody has ever noticed this, but James and I have had an ongoing discussion about hockey stats for about five years now. Sometimes I feed him data, sometimes I run with something..."
  • Feb 23 2011 The Importance Of A Goalies First 15 Games - "After watching ten games from the Leafs' bench, James Reimer has put up stellar numbers in his first 15 games in the NHL. But can we draw any conclusions from his .932 save percentage to start his..."
  • Feb 18 2011 What Do Nhl Gms Think Their Players Are Worth - "The market for NHL players is a fairly efficient one - unlike, say, baseball in the 1980s, where a little spreadsheet analysis would tell you that on-base-percentage was a low-cost path to..."
  • Feb 17 2011 12 17 10 Det Chi Distance Traveled By The Puck - "The details are a little hazy, but the puck traveled approximately four miles during the third period of this game. Surprisingly, it appears to have been carried as far as it was passed:"
  • Feb 17 2011 Help Wanted Writing Contest - "If I'm lucky, this will be the most exciting announcement between now and the Trade Deadline. Behind the Net is looking to add to its crack writing staff by way of a writing contest."
  • Feb 17 2011 Likens On Predictive Value Of Corsi And Fenwick - "I may be one of five people on earth who loves this stuff, but that is my cross to bear."
  • Feb 16 2011 12 17 10 Det Chi Passing And Fenwick - "We've seen in the past that over a large number of games, Fenwick and Scoring Chances ultimately converge to the same ratios; the same is true for those two stats and Possession. Where does..."
  • Feb 16 2011 Odds Of Leafs Winning The Cup In The Next 20 Years - Got this from a friend yesterday:"
  • Feb 16 2011 Atlanta Hamstrings Future Winnipeg Owners With Byfuglien Contract - It's no secret that I think Dustin Byfuglien is very overrated. And a $5.2M annual contract - which is more like $5.4M given that Atlanta bought out one of Buf's RFA years - would suggest that..."
  • Feb 15 2011 Stars Not Being Honest About How Weak Their Team Is - "Derek Zona: "This is why Joe Nieuwendyk must trade Brad Richards."
  • Feb 14 2011 12 17 10 Det Chi Game Participation Stats - "So the original intent of this project was to systematically watch a game closely enough to see who was participating in the play and driving the outcome. In particular, I wanted to find a way to..."
  • Feb 14 2011 Power Scout Hockey Wants Feedback - "I'm going to admit my bias: I'm a huge fan of showing your work. Baseball is by far the most advanced sport in the analysis department, and a lot of those advances were made because people put..."
  • Feb 14 2011 Ok I Really Only Have One Question For Power Scout Hockey - "According to their goaltending analysis, goalies drive 27% of winning. According to NHLnumbers.com, NHL teams spent $116M above minimum salary on goaltenders this year. That's about 9% of the..."
  • Feb 13 2011 Podcast From 2 12 Illegal Curve Radio Show Appearance - "My second appearance on the Illegal Curve radio show on 1290 CFRW in Winnipeg. We talk playoff momentum, Dustin Byfuglien, Michael Frolik and the value of trade deadline deals. Thanks again to..."
  • Feb 11 2011 12 17 10 Det Chi Passing - "Back in December, I put out feelers for people to score the 12/17 Detroit-Chicago game. I even offered to pay. I ended up with data for the third period of the game that's an absolute treasure..."
  • Feb 10 2011 Feel The Playoff Momentum - "This question comes up a lot: do teams need to have "momentum"going into the playoffs? In other words, if a team loses its last few games of the year, is that a bad sign for the first round of..."
  • Feb 10 2011 Why Michael Frolik Was Traded In One Chart - "Random variation around 7.56% (including missed shots) sometimes generates a 0-for-75 stretch. That's Michael Frolik's story since 12/20, and why it was time for Florida to sell low. That is all."
  • Feb 9 2011 The Behind The Net Curse - "Last year, our regression to the mean prognostications doomed Henrik Sedin and the Washington Capitals. This year, as commenter cajuncook noted, it's Dallas who's taking a beating."
  • Feb 9 2011 Whos Next - "Most of evidence-based hockey analysis out there unfortunately centers on the Edmonton Oilers. (Growing up in Winnipeg, I learned hatred from birth for the city of Edmonton and its fans, so I..."
  • Feb 8 2011 Laying Down The Gauntlet - There are two things that are not allowed at this site:"
  • Feb 7 2011 Espn Byfuglien Trade A Big Hawks Mistake - This story has been sitting on my ESPN sidebar all week:"
  • Feb 7 2011 Can We Give This Rory Boylen Guy At The Hockey News A Little Help - "I got a couple of links from previously unknown (to me) stats curmudgeon Rory Boylen, who has a post up that starts with some some boilerplate:"
  • Feb 5 2011 Because You Asked For It New Behindthenet Ca Feature - I finally got some free time and added an oft-requested feature:"
  • Feb 4 2011 Prime Example Of Not Getting It - I hope you can follow this twitter conversation - our friends at Pension Plan Puppets wrote a piece on Mikhail Grabovski's performance:"
  • Feb 2 2011 One Goal Games - "Originally appeared in Hockey Prospectus, June 18, 2009:"
  • Feb 1 2011 The Hot Hand And Coaches As Goalie Evaluators - "Let's say that every NHL goaltender had the same talent level (.910 save %), but that no one knew this. Coaches start the season with their #1 guy, but if he posts five bad games in a row (save %..."
  • Jan 31 2011 How Ridiculous Is The Nhl All Star Game - "I'm not going to lie: I didn't watch the All-Star Game. It's just not that exciting to watch something that doesn't resemble NHL hockey. This table compares NHL events since the lockout, both..."
  • Jan 29 2011 Bruins Ready For A Fall - "Do you remember last year when Tim Thomas was finished? Untradeable? How things have changed! Thanks to Thomas, Boston has, by far, the highest 5-on-5 save percentage in the league (942), which..."
  • Jan 29 2011 This Is Getting Too Complicated - [With apologies to Barack Obama for the title...]"
  • Jan 27 2011 The Impossibility Of Projecting Goaltenders - "This appeared in Hockey Prospectus, June 1, 2009:"
  • Jan 26 2011 Score Effects On Even Strength Shooting Percentage - "I've seen this come up a few times - we know that score effects have a real impact on shot differential, and there's an assumption that score effects must also play a significant role in driving..."
  • Jan 26 2011 Stars Spout Conventional Wisdom - 20th in the league in shots allowed at 5-on-5; 28th in shots for; and riding a performance high from a goaltender who couldn't hack Atlanta's roster. This is probably the worst Dallas team in..."
  • Jan 24 2011 Impact Of Firing A Coach On Fenwick - "Just a random thought here - does firing the coach have any impact on a team's shot differential? It seems that it does - since the lockout, in the game (Game 0 on the chart) where a coach gets..."
  • Jan 23 2011 Stanley Cup Odds And A Cautionary Tale On Goal Differential - "First, a word from our sponsors: the sweet re-design of behindthenet.ca comes courtesy of our friends in the sports betting arena. It's also a great time to look at current Stanley Cup odds:"
  • Jan 20 2011 A Tale Of Two Tampas - "Before the season started, I was convinced Tampa was going to be good (for the wrong reasons, natch) but they've turned out to be way better than I could have ever expected. They've dominated the..."
  • Jan 20 2011 Sharks Sign Ubc Goalie For One Game - "If you were a great beer league goalie, what city should you live in to maximize your opportunity of suiting up as a backup for one NHL game?"
  • Jan 19 2011 Ovechkins Shooting - "First, a couple of comments from the archives - I noted last year that Washington's shooting percentage was unsustainably high:"
  • Jan 17 2011 Measuring Defensive Assignments On The Pk - We know that the ratio of offensive-to-defensive zone faceoffs is a big driver of a player's results at even-strength. On the PK? Not so much - almost all faceoffs taken by a shorthanded team are..."
  • Jan 13 2011 The 2011 Shot Quality Prize - "Ok, lovers of shot quality. Here's your chance to produce compelling evidence that your favorite concept plays a significant role in the game of hockey. Derek Zona and I are offering $150 and..."
  • Jan 12 2011 Analyzing The 2008 09 Sharks Defense - "Even though this originally appeared in Hockey Prospectus, July 7, 2009, it seems appropriate to reconsider it today:"
  • Jan 12 2011 Now Considering Every Idea Thats Thrown Out There - "In the discussion of the Washington Capitals goaltending situation, I see four main points of contention (excluding the torrents of insults):"
  • Jan 11 2011 No Not More About Washingtons Goaltending And Penalty Kill - "Brian McNally wrote up a lengthy response to my analysis yesterday, and I wanted to address a few things that remain unclear. I'm not going to discuss Washington's goaltending triumvirate -..."
  • Jan 10 2011 Is Washingtons Pk Really That Good - "I saw this comment from Brian McNally, the Caps beat reporter for the Washington Examiner:"
  • Jan 10 2011 A Note On The Caps Goaltending - Washington is a good defensive team - they are better than league-average at suppressing opponent shots across the board:"
  • Jan 7 2011 Team Russia Kicked Off Plane Now Hysteria Over Underage Drinking - Professional athletes win a world championship and misbehave? Can we make a huge deal about another non-issue? "
  • Jan 5 2011 Is The Sharks Defense Bad - "So I treasure my subscription to the unofficial Chicago Blackhawks program, The Committed Indian. They had a particularly genius (and decidedly inappropriate) cartoon involving Joe Thornton and P..."
  • Jan 3 2011 Hockeyfights Com Best Fights Of The Half Season - This post was actually prompted by a conversation I had at a New Year's party:"
  • Jan 3 2011 Oops Flyers Waive Michael Leighton - Was there a more predictably bad signing than Michael Leighton for two years and $3.1M? It took barely six months to punt that one. Let this be a lesson to all general managers out there: when a..."
  • Dec 28 2010 Poll Of The Day New Jersey Vs Dallas - "As of Saturday, New Jersey was last in the NHL with 20 points and Dallas was 2nd in the NHL with 46 points. Which is more likely - Dallas puts up 70 points over the rest of the season and finishes..."
  • Dec 27 2010 Forbes Nhl General Manager Rankings - "I don't know how I missed this story in December's Forbes Magazine (lazy? stupid? eye not on ball? you pick), but it's right up my alley. Forbes comes up with a ridiculous way to rank GMs, dollars..."
  • Dec 24 2010 Mats Zuccarello Aasen Makes His Nhl Debut - "The little Norwegian with the big stick is back in the spotlight. After abusing the Swedish Elite League last year, making a splash in the Olympics, and doing an adequate job in the AHL, Mats got..."
  • Dec 23 2010 Ushl Players In Nhl 2010 11 - It was bound to happen eventually: the USHL could not continue to send its alumni to the NHL at an ever-increasing rate:"
  • Dec 22 2010 No Question Toronto Parent Announces His Candidacy For Hockey A Hole - "Oh, and it looks like someone hacked the parent's website:"
  • Dec 20 2010 Will James Reimer Ever Get To Play Hockey - "There's a peculiar phenomenon among goaltenders: they get called up to the NHL, dress, warm up...And never get to play. Here are the league leaders in sitting on the bench since the start of the..."
  • Dec 16 2010 Leafs Have Emerged As Clear Winners Of The Phaneuf Trade Hahaha - "Calling out brutal articles in the Toronto Star is not the most challenging thing in the world, but this is just too bad to pass up."
  • Dec 15 2010 Help Wanted Advanced Scoring Of Fridays Detroit Chicago Game - I am looking for somebody to score Friday's Detroit-Chicago game. I would like every touch recorded along with its location in a spreadsheet - something like this:"
  • Dec 13 2010 A Few More Thoughts About Phil Kessel - "There's a lot of focus on Phil Kessel's shooting percentage, but as I said, I think that's garbage. Some very real issues with Kessel though:"
  • Dec 10 2010 Retirement Is Forever - "One player who doesn't get anywhere near the recognition he deserves is Mark Howe. He famously started out as a forward in the WHA, playing on a line with his father and brother and winning Avco..."
  • Dec 10 2010 Kessel Detractors Just Dont Get It - Scott Burnside tells us that Phil Kessel is nothing but a disaster:"
  • Dec 9 2010 Amazing Things You Can Do With The New Behindthenet Site - Check out this link:"
  • Dec 6 2010 Welcome Bettmans Nightmare - "Before there was Colin Campbell's Nightmare, there was Bettman's Nightmare. Bettman (aka Ben Wendorf) comes from one of the few inhabited places in the world that's colder and more remote than..."
  • Dec 5 2010 Gvt Is Back In Business For 2010 11 - I had a couple of lines of code commented out and so this wasn't getting built. I'll move it over to the new site eventually."
  • Dec 4 2010 Patrick Kaleta Abuses Derek Dorsett - Dorsett weakly cheap shots Thomas Vanek and then gets a-b-u-s-e-d..."
  • Dec 4 2010 Pat Burrell Gives Giants A Ridiculous Discount - "I found this story about Pat Burrell's new contract more than a little odd. In particular, this line:"
  • Dec 4 2010 Damien Cox Comes Off Pretty Badly - "I guess I missed this a week ago, but wow, does Damien Cox ever come off as an a-hole. I particularly like when he complains that "bloggers"face no consequences for anything they write. A little..."
  • Dec 1 2010 Edmonton Oilers Outshot 1983 1988 - "One thing that might seem strange given the focus we have here on outshooting your opponents is that some of the greatest teams from 20 or 30 years ago were outshot. For example, the Edmonton..."
  • Dec 1 2010 Behind The Net New Site Beta Version - How many more Greek letters can we go through before we're done?"
  • Nov 29 2010 Finnish Sm Liiga Goal Locations 2009 10 - "The Finnish SM-Liiga has a real treasure trove of data. Most of it is basically the same as the NHL's data, but they also have exact locations where pucks went into the net. Not that we didn't..."
  • Nov 28 2010 Jon Willis Better Late Than Never Series - Jon also wrote a bunch of season previews that are worth your time:"
  • Nov 27 2010 Alpha Testing New Behind The Net Site - "I've been promising to do this forever, but I finally got a professional to build the behindthenet.ca. You can see the Alpha version here. Some features are still not enabled - team stats, goalie..."
  • Nov 27 2010 Colorados Corsi Is Good This Year Avs Fans Remain Angry At Inanimate - Not a lot of places in this world where people brag that they're intentionally unwilling to learn anything...Follow the link and meet them!"
  • Nov 25 2010 Retro Nhl And Anger At Corsi - "I was going to write something funny about turkeys today, but I couldn't think of anything. Instead, I'm going to talk about the irrational anger directed at shot differential. Even though NHL..."
  • Nov 22 2010 Luck In The Nhl Standings - If we had 100% parity in the NHL - every team identically skilled at all times - what would the standings look like? Would every team's record match their talent level? Would they all finish with..."
  • Nov 17 2010 What Exactly Is Luck - "
  • Nov 15 2010 A Note On Statistics - "There's a lot of anger out there at hockey "statistics." But what are hockey statistics anyways? "
  • Nov 12 2010 Quantitative Analysis By Avs Fans Finds Btn Is Biased Against Colorado - This has to be one of the funniest things I've ever read in my life. "
  • Nov 11 2010 Better Late Than Never What Is Evgeni Nabokov Worth In Russia - "Faced with an NHL goaltending market that no longer demanded his services at a price he wanted, Evgeni Nabokov signed with St. Petersburg of the Russian Kontinental Hockey League. His contract -..."
  • Nov 11 2010 What Is It With Avs Fans - "You'd think every Avs fan was Brandon Yip's mom. No explanation for their position in the standings last season is accepted other than one involving heart, grit, determination, young guys gelling..."
  • Nov 9 2010 Better Late Than Never San Jose Sharks - "
  • Nov 4 2010 Better Late Than Never Colorado Avalanche - "By now, you've probably gotten the hang of this series..."
  • Nov 2 2010 Better Late Than Never Columbus Blue Jackets - "This is the second installment in my series of hockey analysis pieces that I wanted to save from the dustbin of history...Today, we find out just how good Columbus is:"
  • Nov 2 2010 San Francisco Giants Great Outcome Bad Process - "The Giants' World Series win was a pretty unlikely one, no question. Prior to the season, I don't think anyone had them favored to win their division. Even three months ago, it looked pretty..."
  • Nov 1 2010 Roy Macgregor Placed On Ltir Following Failed Attack On Straw Man - "[For those of you coming here from Connor Conor McKenna's link - I'm not sure why he says that I'm an anonymous blogger. My bio is, and always has been, on the left-hand side of this page.]"
  • Oct 28 2010 Better Late Than Never Minnesota Wild - I'm posting a series of pieces that were originally intended to go into an NHL annual this year. The parties involved in producing the book got a little behind schedule and now it's not so..."
  • Oct 28 2010 Rejection Of Replacement Level Why - replacement-level players should be valued at no more than the league minimum."
  • Oct 24 2010 San Francisco Giants Dont Hurt The Bandwagon When You Jump On It - "Some of us having been following the San Francisco Giants for more than two weeks - we remember four straight losing seasons (2005-2008), brutal free agent contracts, plenty of awful trades, and..."
  • Oct 21 2010 Wayne Gretzkys Real Goal Scoring Record - "What's wrong with this picture?"Will anyone surpass Wayne Gretzky's 894 career goals? Hradek and Melrose debate which records will (and won't) stand the test of time."
  • Oct 18 2010 Clean Up Your Act Madison Square Garden - "Madison Square Garden has long been the bane of NHL shot analysis. For whatever reason, the official scorers at MSG have incredible difficulties figuring out where the puck has been shot from. We..."
  • Oct 15 2010 Road Team Shift Length 2005 2010 - "Yesterday's piece on the teams that took the shortest and longest shifts got me wondering about why Colorado had the shortest shifts until 2006-07, and then abruptly stopped playing that way. ..."
  • Oct 14 2010 Nhl Team Shifts Per Game - "Kevin Gibson at TSN asked me an interesting question this morning - which teams take the most and fewest shifts? Well, the answer may surprise you: (data since 1997-98 season)"
  • Oct 8 2010 Behindthenet Ca Up And Running For 2010 11 - "I feel like Matthew McConaughey in 'Dazed and Confused' - you know what I like the most about the NHL? They never come up with any new stats, so I can use the same code to run my website every..."
  • Oct 7 2010 Ovechkin By Shot Type - "I was looking over Alexander Ovechkin's career shooting data and I thought it merited being posted. First, his progression at even-strength, per 3600 seconds of ice time:"
  • Oct 5 2010 The End Of Rivalry - "As if it's intentionally attempting to prove its irrelevance, the Toronto Star sports section throws this well-worn crap at us:"
  • Sep 23 2010 Further To Always Bet The Under - It's important to understand how a player ends up being in the top 20 in the league in scoring. Let's look at his performance in the seasons before and after that performance:"
  • Sep 22 2010 Always Bet The Under - "I don't blame Wysh for predicting that 12 of last year's top 20 scorers would post higher point totals this season. The old adage "if you don't have anything nice to say, don't say anything at..."
  • Sep 21 2010 Tomas Vokoun And Confounding - "The Florida Panthers had perhaps the best goaltending duo in the NHL during the 2007-08 and 2008-09 seasons, with Tomas Vokoun and Craig Anderson splitting duties. As a result, in nearly double..."
  • Sep 20 2010 Team Shooting Percentage And Shot - "The notion of "shot quality"is an appealing one. So appealing, in fact, that it is the perhaps the only statistical concept in hockey that is palatable to people who otherwise reject statistical..."
  • Sep 20 2010 Some Incomprehensible Analysis Of - I don't really even understand what this post is getting at. Karl Alzner was 21st in quality of competition this year for the Caps and he was 22nd last year. And he rode the pine in the playoffs...."
  • Sep 16 2010 Goaltender Talent - "A number of esteemed hockey analysts have attacked this problem, and I thought I would look at it from the same perspective as my shooting analysis. To eliminate scorer bias and man-advantage..."
  • Sep 16 2010 Toronto Star Obsesses Over 5th - "This is an odd story, about a guy who bought a bunch of sports teams and ultimately a scouting agency. Then his son was drafted 123rd overall last year even though NHL central scouting didn't have..."
  • Sep 16 2010 1st Round Draft Pick Worth 47m - Tyler pwns Damien Cox on this one."
  • Sep 15 2010 Marc Staal Mails The Rangers A - "Five years, $19.875M - including two UFA years and no NMC/NTC? The Rangers got one hell of a deal for a guy who could match up against the other team's stars when he was still 21 years old."
  • Sep 14 2010 Last Chapter Of Whos A Better - "Ilya Kovalchuk has had precisely once competitor in the shooting department: Alex Tanguay. In fact, at even-strength over the last five seasons, we're more likely to observed Tanguay scoring on a..."
  • Sep 14 2010 Devils Fined Not Much For - "The Devils were fined $3M, plus they lose next year's 3rd round pick and a first-round pick some time in the next four seasons."
  • Sep 13 2010 Whos The Better Shooter Andrew - "I got a lot of comments on my piece about Ilya Kovalchuk's and Jody Shelley's shooting talents to the effect of "who cares?" And I understand where they're coming from: watch Kovalchuk and Shelley..."
  • Sep 10 2010 Reasonable Expectations Jarome - "There's no question that Jarome Iginla's production has dropped since he turned 30. And it's not just in the points department - he's taken on somewhat tougher matchups since 2007, and the shots..."
  • Sep 9 2010 Jody Shelley Vs Ilya Kovalchuk - Let's go back to a familiar chart - Jody Shelley's observed shooting talent vs that of Ilya Kovalchuk:"
  • Sep 8 2010 Reasonable Expectations Patrick - How often does a player go from being maligned on a daily basis and stripped of his captaincy to scoring five of his team's seven goals against the eventual Stanley Cup winner before signing a..."
  • Sep 7 2010 How Good Is Your Power Play - "Skill-testing question: if a team has an above-average power-play efficiency, what's the likelihood that they're actually an above-average power-play?"
  • Sep 7 2010 Winnipeg Jets My Expansion Team - "SBN conducted a mock expansion draft with me and James Mirtle as general managers. Not surprisingly, I took Winnipeg, and James took Quebec. Here's my team, with salaries:"
  • Sep 3 2010 Survivor Effects If A Player Plays - "A player who plays 82 games in a single season is a very durable one, but the risk of significant injuries is so high in the NHL that we expect him to play a lot fewer games, on average, in the..."
  • Sep 2 2010 How Many Goals Will Sidney Crosby - "First things first: do not call me a Crosby-hater. That's the last thing in the world that I am. Here's my post-Olympic reaction, and here's where I advocated for him as Rookie of the Year."
  • Sep 1 2010 If A Guy Had 112 Points Last Year - "I'm looking at you, Henrik Sedin. If we look at 115 players who put up roughly similar point totals over the last 40 years, we can see that it's not likely to be 112 again:"
  • Aug 27 2010 Fan Poll Which Team Will Win The - Vote early!"
  • Aug 27 2010 Colorado Avalanche First Half - Amazing work by the tireless Scott Reynolds."
  • Aug 25 2010 Wisdom Of Crowds How Many Points - Click on the poll..."
  • Aug 24 2010 Further To Leafs Expectations For - "Yesterday's survey results are in, and the Leafs' mean projection is 82.6 points. That's not an unsubstantial improvement - Toronto finished with 74 points this year, so our wise crowds expect a..."
  • Aug 23 2010 Fan Poll How Many Points Will The - Because inquiring minds want to know...And I'd also like to put a price tag on the 2011 draft pick the Bruins are getting."
  • Aug 22 2010 Francois Beauchemins Cognitive - Forget that Beauchemin thinks the Leafs could go far this season; this line really got me:"
  • Aug 20 2010 Offensive Zone Faceoffs And - "Some of you may have seen my generic analysis from last year of shots for and against following a faceoff. Derek Zona asked me to run the same for power-plays. Here are the results - first,..."
  • Aug 19 2010 Dodgers Rockies 8 19 2010 Should - "Bottom of the 10th, 2 outs, Dodgers trailing 3-2. Reed Johnson is on first and Scott Podsednik bloops a single to center. Johnson is running on contact and the centerfielder is slow getting the..."
  • Aug 17 2010 The Blaine Rutland Theory Young - "Not that any of you know this hockey sage, but I played beer league hockey with Blaine Rutland years ago, and he was also my roommate for a couple of years. He was born in Moose Factory, grew up..."
  • Aug 9 2010 Riley Cote Retires - "Riley Cote officially retired today - he was one of the most efficient players in recent NHL history. Despite playing just 4:08 per game over his 156-game NHL career, he generated 411 penalty..."
  • Aug 3 2010 Inefficiencies In Irrelevant - "Judging by the number of people who ask me about it, Malcolm Gladwell's 'Outliers' must be the single best-known book about hockey. Sadly, nobody seems to know that his fundamental premise - that..."
  • Aug 2 2010 Estimated Nhl Shooting Talent - "Earlier, I looked at the observed performance spread that we see in NHL shooting. When I talk about shooting talent, I mean a player's ability to score from a particular spot on the ice relative..."
  • Jul 30 2010 Where Players Spend Their Time In - "I've been looking at the origins of high (and low) shooting percentage, and one of the interesting outcomes was that shooting percentage is deterministically driven by where a player positions..."
  • Jul 29 2010 Observed Distribution Of Shooting - "Don't ask me why, but I was thinking about how unlikely it was that Jody Shelley scored two goals in the final two games of the regular season, and I got to wondering about the spread of shooting..."
  • Jul 23 2010 Patrick Kaleta Penalty Drawing - "It took a little while for the details of Kaleta's contract to come out, but it's $1.82M over two years. If we assume a 40% RFA discount, then Kaleta signed for the UFA equivalent of $1.5M a..."
  • Jul 22 2010 Incidentally What Is Kovalchuk - "I think, for all intents and purposes, Ilya Kovalchuk is a simple player. He's a black hole on defense - worth essentially zero - and he has the best shooting abilities in the entire league, bar..."
  • Jul 21 2010 Why Ilya Kovalchuks Contract Was - "Ilya Kovalchuk signed a 17-year, $102M contract with New Jersey on Monday, which was promptly rejected by the NHL. (Or not so promptly, given that the Devils already had a press conference to..."
  • Jul 19 2010 Ilya Kovalchuk Signs With Devils - "We already discussed Ilya Kovalchuk in detail here, with the wisdom of the crowd putting his value around $6.7M per year. As in, less than Patrick Marleau. Does that seem unbelievable? Hart..."
  • Jul 19 2010 Flyers Moves Leave Me Scratching - I don't understand how the same team that signs Sean O'Donnell for $1M and Daniel Carcillo for $1.075M can be the same team that takes on the following contracts:"
  • Jul 16 2010 Minnesota Wild Sign Mikko Koivu To - "Mikko Koivu just signed a 7-year, $47.25M contract with Minnesota, starting in 2011-12. Koivu made $3.3M this year, which made him about as big a bargain as you can get for an RFA in the NHL. So..."
  • Jul 15 2010 Need Your Advice Behindthenet Ca - "I'm finally (finally!) getting around to re-designing behindthenet.ca. I'd appreciate your advice, particularly on how to make the stats pages more user-friendly. Also, let me know if there are..."
  • Jul 14 2010 Minnesota Re Signs Josh Harding - Minnesota re-signed RFA backup goalie Josh Harding to a 1-year $1.2M contract today. Goaltenders just keep getting cheaper and cheaper - Harding had the best numbers among goaltenders looking for..."
  • Jul 13 2010 Blogging Vacation - "After a feverish month of following the World Cup and the NHL free agent market, this site is going to be dark for a while. I'll come back on line if something interesting happens (e.g...."
  • Jul 7 2010 Homophobia And Discrimination In - Derek discusses reactions to his father's day column."
  • Jul 7 2010 Goaltender Salary Per Win 2000 01 - "Over the last decade, goaltender salaries have grown significantly, but they've failed to keep pace with overall salary growth:"
  • Jul 7 2010 Evgeni Nabokov To Khl 4 Years 24m - "And can you blame him? I think Nabby would have struggled to get a 2-year, $6M deal in the NHL, so this was the right move on his part. Will the entire contract get paid out? Who knows. "
  • Jul 6 2010 Blues Overpay For Jaroslav But Not - "Jaroslav Halak just signed a 4-year, $15M contract that sells his three remaining RFA years along with his first UFA year. Halak's established talent level is a 925 even-strength save percentage,..."
  • Jul 2 2010 Nhl Goaltending Market Over - "It's amazing how quickly conventional wisdom can change. Not much more than one year ago, it was basically an article of faith that a playoff team needed a top goaltender (probably even a clutch..."
  • Jul 2 2010 Scott Burnsides Somewhat Odd Take - "Scott Burnside grades the moves from yesterday, and I have to say that I find some of his assertions quite difficult to understand:"
  • Jul 1 2010 Nhl Transactions Open Thread - I'm going to update this throughout the day as...stuff happens..."
  • Jul 1 2010 Day 1 Nhl Ufa Price Per Win - I have twenty-three players changing teams today picking up contracts totaling $46.15M in AAV in 2010-11:"
  • Jul 1 2010 Bryan Murray Wants Other Team To - Unfortunate comment of the day from Ottawa Senators GM Bryan Murray:"
  • Jun 30 2010 Michael Leighton Signs With Phi - "I guess it pays to be a bit of a playoff hero. Leighton, he of the save career save percentage as Vesa Toskala, just got a contract about three times bigger than players with similar talent. Here..."
  • Jun 29 2010 Nhl Hart Trophy Voters Dont Think - "I wouldn't give Hart Trophy voting all that much credence, but given that the very same reporters and columnists who voted for the awards are also telling me that Ilya Kovalchuk is the 'prize of..."
  • Jun 29 2010 On Special Talents Patrick Kaleta - I'm sure some of you are wishing that I would just shut the hell up about Ilya Kovalchuk and go back to writing about soccer. But I was struck by the suggestion that you'd want to acquire..."
  • Jun 29 2010 Mtl Nsh Sergei Kostitsyn For - "I don't get this move. The whole point of trading Jaroslav Halak was that Montreal had, in Carey Price, a goaltender who was good enough to be a starter, and having two goaltenders making $6M+..."
  • Jun 28 2010 Do You Really Think Ilya Kovalchuk - "It's like the emperor's new clothes. Everywhere I look, I read things like: "The market for free-agent forwards? Some would say it's Ilya Kovalchuk and everyone else." But does anyone really..."
  • Jun 28 2010 Is There Such A Thing As An - The answer? It depends if you have a salary cap. If there's no cap and you have virtually unlimited revenue - which has been true of many teams at many times - then the key to winning is having..."
  • Jun 26 2010 Vancouver Florida Trade On Michael - "
  • Jun 26 2010 Edmonton Oilers Buy High Sell Low - I love when a hockey trade comes full circle:"
  • Jun 25 2010 Nhl Ufa Price Per Win In 2010 And - "We've had 23 UFA signings so far, with an average price of $1.86M per projected 2010-11 win. (Projected wins are calculated using a dead simple model: a 3-2-1 weighting of a player's last three..."
  • Jun 24 2010 Marleau And Pavelski Re Sign With - "Well, there goes the best free agent on the market - Marleau signed with the Sharks for four years and $27.6M. Marleau is being paid roughly at value - a shade under 3 wins a year at the moment -..."
  • Jun 23 2010 Dustin Byfuglien Overrated Or - "If there's one thing you have to do in a capped league, it's trade your overvalued entry-level contracts as soon as they come to RFA status. And after Chicago's Stanley Cup run, nobody could be..."
  • Jun 22 2010 Taylor Pyatt Re Signs With Phoenix - "According to ESPN, Taylor Pyatt signed a 2-year, $2M contract. Phoenix and Pyatt are agreeing that his value will be less than one win over two seasons - and yet this still strikes me as an..."
  • Jun 22 2010 Blackhawks Will March In Chicagos - Cubs too. Great story. It's too bad nobody ever wins a championship here in San Francisco!"
  • Jun 22 2010 Sharks Not So Stupid As Assumed - Easy call on this one: the Sharks told Evgeni Nabokov they won't be re-signing him. There's no need to pay market rates for league-average goaltending. One of the biggest inefficiencies at the..."
  • Jun 21 2010 Advanced Nfl Stats Becomes - "I have to give it up to Brian Burke (no, not that Brian Burke), who is extending his football analysis into the other kind of football."
  • Jun 19 2010 Nhl Trade Ryan Parent For Dan - Ryan Parent spent most of this season as Philadelphia's 7th or 8th defenseman. He doesn't play tough competition and tends to hemorrhage shots against. He does play a role on the 2nd PK defensive..."
  • Jun 19 2010 Jason Arnott Trade - "The Nashville Predators shipped out another contract today, moving team captain Jason Arnott to the New Jersey Devils for Matt Halischuk and a 2nd round draft pick in 2011. Arnott is set to make..."
  • Jun 17 2010 On Montreal Trading Halak - "I said most of what I wanted to say when I wrote about Halak and Price a month and a half ago. The difference in value between the two goalies is very small, while perception of their abilities..."
  • Jun 9 2010 Post Lockout Divisional Imbalance - "Ever wondered about the extent of divisional imbalance in the NHL? We know that the southeast division isn't very good, but how bad is it? Here's the Corsi% (even-strength shots only) with the..."
  • Jun 9 2010 Team Corsi + Vs Other Divisions - "These charts show team shot +/-, even-strength, with the score tied against teams in every division but their own. First, the East:"
  • Jun 9 2010 Northwest Vs Southeast Division - "
  • Jun 8 2010 Hawks Flyers Scoring Chances - "If you haven't been following Scott Reynolds' analysis of the Stanley Cup Finals, you're really missing out. Scott watches every scoring chance and I think he comes away with a better..."
  • Jun 7 2010 Marian Hossas Analytical Agent - I got a few questions about this piece that appeared in various newspapers about the process by which Marian Hossa's agent (Ritch Winter) selected his potential destinations after last season. ..."
  • Jun 4 2010 Single Game Ice Time Leaders - Quick trivia: who is the biggest single-game ironman in the last decade? Regular-season games only. Would you have guessed Adrian Aucoinr?"
  • Jun 2 2010 Penalty Differential By Position - Here is the average non-coincidental penalty differential (penalties drawn minus penalties taken) per 82 games and 15 minutes of icetime for each position:"
  • Jun 1 2010 Hawks Flyers Chances Game 2 - "Again, the best analysis you're going to find on the internet of game 2."
  • May 31 2010 Changing Goalies Shuffling The - "Your starting goalie is getting shelled. Clearly he's not on today. So you pull him, and everything calms down...right? Well, the new goaltender has a much better save percentage:"
  • May 30 2010 Batting Order Spot By Position - "Looking at pitcher batting slots yesterday got me on this topic...I now have a ton of data, so I thought I might as well go through it and find some trends. First, leadoff hitters in the NL by..."
  • May 30 2010 Blackhawks Flyers Game 1 Shots - Scott Reynolds has some superb analysis of game 1 scoring chances. I thought I'd look at some of the various metrics we could use to evaluate the game:"
  • May 29 2010 Pitchers Batting Somewhere Other - "The recent usage of pitchers in the 8th spot got me thinking about this. I assumed (incorrectly, as you'll see) that there was a time before true positional specialization in baseball that some..."
  • May 28 2010 More On Goal Scoring And True - "I thought I'd take a look at some of the quantities surrounding even-strength goal-scoring. Again, I'm looking at the persistence of each of these rates in even and odd games, just for initial..."
  • May 28 2010 Shot Quality Vs Quantity I The - "Interesting analysis of outscoring and outshooting dating back to the dawn of time (ie - 1983-84, when the NHL started recording shots against.)"
  • May 28 2010 Why I Like Chicago For This Thing - Exhibit A: 5v5 Shot % = SF/(SF+SA) for the last three seasons (the NHL started offering us this data just three years ago...hard to believe...)"
  • May 27 2010 Top Playoff Overtime Performers - Most overtime-winning goals:"
  • May 26 2010 Goaltenders Under Contract In 2010 - Here's a list of every goaltender who has faced 500 EV shots since the lockout and is under contract for next season:"
  • May 26 2010 Optimism In Philadelphia - No jokes about it always being sunny in Philadelphia. Seriously."
  • May 25 2010 2010 Free Agent Goaltender Market - "The offseason goaltending market is pretty ugly. Here are the 10 unrestricted free agents who have any consequential value above replacement level, ranked by even-strength save percentage since..."
  • May 25 2010 Philadelphia Montreal Shot Totals - "Well, the magic disappeared...Montreal finally found a team that it could play even, but lost the series. The shot totals below are from Philadelphia's perspective - they barely broke even at most..."
  • May 25 2010 Hawks Flyers Poll - I'm not going to reveal my pick just yet so as not to bias the poll results. Please click!"
  • May 24 2010 A Tale Of Two Talents One True And - Some of you may have seen this plot last week in my look at the persistence of shooting percentage. I looked at whether some players exhibited an ability to score more often from a given spot on..."
  • May 24 2010 Sharks Hawks Shots By Score - From the Sharks perspective:"
  • May 24 2010 Ej Hradek Thinks Sharks Should - EJ Hradek writes:"
  • May 23 2010 Brian Burke Goes After The Iihf - This is about right. The IIHF is by no means altruistic."
  • May 23 2010 Slight Modifications To - First change:"
  • May 22 2010 Don Cherry Bait - "
  • May 21 2010 Canadians Americans And Europeans - "Following on my previous post on Canadian goaltenders in the NHL, this plot shows the change in the number of skaters and goaltenders from their peak during the NHL/WHA era. Were it not for the..."
  • May 20 2010 Cammalleri Vs Malkin Shooting - I wanted to look at Mike Cammalleri and Evgeni Malkin's shooting performance over the last five years relative to expected shooting based purely on shot location. These are only even-strength..."
  • May 20 2010 On Canadian Goaltenders In The Nhl - James Mirtle points out an interesting trend: Canadians have gone from being nearly 100% of NHL goaltenders in 1980 to less than 50% today. Here's the trend in minutes played:"
  • May 19 2010 New Stats On Behindthenet Ca Zone - "I put zone starts on the site at the beginning of the season, but due to server space limitations, I never posted zone finishes. Here's the link:"
  • May 19 2010 Contrarian Goaltender On Streaks - He sure is contrarian. Be sure to leave him some comments."
  • May 19 2010 Gene Kiniski A Proud Canadian Fans - Mr. Kiniski finally retired from the ring at age 64 because he said no one wanted to see an old guy beat the crap out of a young guy."
  • May 19 2010 Iihf Talks Shit About Players Who - "In case you missed it, here's a link to what IIHF PR hack Szymon Szemberg had to say about players who might want a break after the NHL playoffs. In particular, he laughed at 'excuses' such as: "
  • May 18 2010 Pens Habs Giveaways Takeaways - "The Pittsburgh Penguins had the puck a lot more than Montreal did during their series, and Pittsburgh gave up the puck a lot more as a result:"
  • May 18 2010 Florida Marlins Refuse To - "Oh, and one of their players also refuses to apologize for not 'hustling.' Ramirez did look terrible, walking after the ball he kicked into the corner...But Florida management destroyed the..."
  • May 17 2010 Five Most Lopsided Series By - "I wanted to draw your attention to one minor point here. The reason why we focus on Fenwick and Corsi with the score tied is pretty obvious when you consider which team, in particular, dominates..."
  • May 17 2010 Why Did The Habs Beat The Pens - "I ask because I'm interested in knowing what people think - living in San Francisco, people would rather watch the 7th inning of a game where the Giants are down 10-0 than talk hockey. "
  • May 16 2010 Scoring Chance Details For - "The Pittsburgh Penguins vastly outchanced the Montreal Canadiens in the second round, which would typically mean a Pittsburgh win. But goals and chances are not one and the same - shooting is a..."
  • May 15 2010 Expected Shooting Percentage - "As you might expect, Montreal exceeded their expected shooting percentage and save percentage by the largest amount in the second round, scoring at a 35.7% higher rate and stopping shots at a 25.6%..."
  • May 14 2010 Reader Mail - "I did not make this up, btw."
  • May 14 2010 Playoff Odds Going Forward - Thanks yet again to our friends at Bodog:"
  • May 14 2010 Cup Winner Rank In Conference 1980 - "A reader asked me about this. I thought it was interesting, and I'm not sure everyone has quite internalized it. The average seed to win the cup? 2.14 in their conference. No team seeded lower..."
  • May 14 2010 Shot Differential Boston - "Nobody's tracking scoring chances for either of these teams, so all we've got to go on is pure shot differential, and Boston had the advantage:"
  • May 13 2010 High And Wide Percentage By Shot - I thought this was interesting: the percentage of shots that go wide or high and hit the crossbar at various distances from the net:"
  • May 13 2010 Il Lance Il Compte Cest De La Magie - "If you haven't been over to the very best french hockey blog on the entire planet, I suggest you visit. Olivier Bouchard has been recording the Habs scoring chances since way back in October when..."
  • May 13 2010 George Laraque Commercial - I was just looking for a new ISP. How did I not find out about this one?"
  • May 13 2010 Habs Scoring Chances Through Round - Olivier Bouchard was nice enough to record last night's scoring chances. Here's the 14-game history of the Habs 2009-10 playoff run:"
  • May 12 2010 Whats The Most Important Thing A - Can you hazard a guess? How about outshoot the other team when the score is tied? Here's what happens when you do:"
  • May 12 2010 2nd Round Corsi Through Last - Ironically the two series that are still going are more lopsided in the shots department than the two that are already complete:"
  • May 12 2010 Questionnaire For Montreal - "1. Jaroslav Halak has a .933 save percentage in the playoffs so far. If he keeps that up, it would make him the best goaltender since the NHL started recording shots in 1983. Is Halak really that..."
  • May 11 2010 I Think We Can Agree That This Is - "Here are the league leaders in hitting posts and crossbars in 2009-10 - I have shootout data in here, which accounts for some totals not matching up. Just 1.4% of all shots hit the iron (according..."
  • May 10 2010 San Jose Sharks Corsi By Score - Compare and contrast from the Sharks' perspective:"
  • May 10 2010 Chicago Blackhawks Corsi By Score - "Chicago is by far the best team in the league. They were dominant during the regular season on shot counts, scoring chances, you name it. I watched them school numerous western conference teams..."
  • May 6 2010 Best B S After The Fact - Thanks to everyone for their submissions - joking or deadly serious. Please vote below."
  • May 6 2010 Sharks Wings Scoring Chances So Far - "Thanks to the Copper n Blue, we have scoring chances for this playoff series. The Sharks have had 55% of all scoring chances so far:"
  • May 6 2010 Profound Thoughts Of The Day - "Had a nice run this morning with AC/DC on my portable music player (ie - I don't have an iPod), which left me with one question:"
  • May 5 2010 First Round Playoff Goaltending - "Here's first round save percentage back to 1983-84, normalized to a 900 save% league:"
  • May 5 2010 Sunny Mehta On Shot Blocking As A - "Great work by Sunny, and more justification for using the Fenwick% as a metric of puck possession (as I usually do) over Corsi%, which includes blocked shots. Of course, Corsi's measure - which..."
  • May 5 2010 Who Wins An Immediate Washington - "Georges Laraque is elected President of Haiti, and in a backroom deal, along with representatives in Washington who want to see more success in the nation's capital, convinces Gary Bettman to..."
  • May 4 2010 A Few Words In The Wsj - The Detroit Red Wings have been outshot very rarely in playoff games in recent memory. Sunday's -14 against the Sharks was the worst in years."
  • May 4 2010 Washington Montreal Game By Game - "Welcome to our next installment of "all Capitals, all the time." Commenter TMS wondered if Washington did better over the course of the series but did poorly in game 7. If we look purely at shot..."
  • May 4 2010 Tigers Opponents Do Worse When Hes - "Great study, though I'll admit I'm accepting the summary in Slate at face value. Obviously, Wayne Gretzky's opponents did worse when he was playing, but I'm surprised to see this in an individual..."
  • May 3 2010 Keep Banging Away - "I wrote about rebounds a few months ago, and I thought the findings were pretty interesting. Not only are teams more likely to score in the first four seconds following a previous shot, but they..."
  • May 3 2010 New Schedule - "It's crazy to think that I only started writing this blog 217 days ago. At some point, I decided that I was going to produce content five days a week, which, as you can imagine, is a ridiculous..."
  • May 2 2010 Ex Post Facto Or Why The Capitals - "Yesterday, I discussed Washington's shot locations in the first round of the playoffs. As usual, the ex post facto explanation for Washington's loss - not getting close enough to the net - was not..."
  • May 1 2010 Washington And First Round Playoff - "When teams lose (or win) a playoff series, there are a lot of explanations for why it happened. One that came up for the Washington Capitals was that they kept the puck outside and didn't get as..."
  • Apr 30 2010 First Round Corsi Percentages By - Winners to the left of me...Losers to the right..."
  • Apr 30 2010 Corsi Wowy Part 1 Frans Nielsen - Nice work by Ben Hasna"
  • Apr 29 2010 More On Score Effects And Corsi - "Earlier, I wrote about the effect that the score has on shot counts. In a nutshell,when a team is down, it tends to outshoot its opponents. This effect is not constant throughout the game -..."
  • Apr 29 2010 Bring On The Second Round Of The - I have a little snark in the WSJ today..."
  • Apr 29 2010 Sharks Avs Series Scoring Chances - Derek Zona has a nice write-up of the series."
  • Apr 29 2010 Whats The Difference Between - I noticed this over at the Copper n Blue:"
  • Apr 29 2010 Last Nights Winner Les Habitants - "Tommy Craggs, who was a genius sports reporter back when he worked in San Francisco, coins the hockey term of the century, IMHO"
  • Apr 28 2010 Impact Of Turnovers On Shot Quality - "There's no question that turning the puck over leads to much better chances for the other team, but by how much? Well, it depends on how long it takes for the other team to get a shot on goal..."
  • Apr 28 2010 Goaltender Save Percentage By Age - Let me add another chart to the discussion:"
  • Apr 28 2010 Jack Adams Trophy Nominees - "I don't normally pay any attention to trophies and awards, but why can't the coach of a good team win 'coach of the year'? The four teams that are still in the playoffs in the Western conference..."
  • Apr 28 2010 Habs Win Dont Forget Who Predicted - "Major props go to Olivier Bouchard, whose love of the Habs blinded him to Washington's unsustainably high shooting percentage. Re-read his piece for an example of what happens when instead of..."
  • Apr 27 2010 Halak V Price What Should The Habs - "Oh, to have two talented, young goalies. Well, at least it's obvious which of Montreal's goaltenders is better, right?"
  • Apr 27 2010 Advanced Playoff Stats On - 2009-10 playoff statistics are available at behindthenet.ca:"
  • Apr 26 2010 Shot Location By Shot Type - "I'd like to propose a modification to the statistical hockey lexicon. We'll see if it catches on. I think the notion of "shot quality"is a bit of a misnomer, and I've been as guilty as anyone of..."
  • Apr 26 2010 Leafs Go 43 Years W O Cup Who - "[I would include a photo, but a search for "Leafs Stanley Cup"in our photo database turns up no results...]"
  • Apr 26 2010 Best Pickup Hockey Story Ever - "Maxim Afinogenov plays a little pickup hockey in Birmingham, Alabama."
  • Apr 25 2010 Sharks Avs Final Shot Totals - "Here are the shot totals for and against the Sharks with the game tied, or within one goal, for the entire six-game series:"
  • Apr 25 2010 Sharks Avs Final Shot And Scoring - "Thanks to the guys at the Copper and Blue, we have annotated scoring chances for each of the six games in the opening round playoff series between the Sharks and the Avs that we can compare to the..."
  • Apr 25 2010 Eulogy Remembering The 2009 10 - I have a little post-mortem for the Avs over at Puck Daddy..."
  • Apr 24 2010 Intangibles - "There has been a lot of discussion here of 'intangibles' over the last few days. For the record, I do not dispute the role intangibles play in world-class athletics. Becoming a professional..."
  • Apr 24 2010 Sharks Avs Shots And Scoring - "Thanks to the guys at the Copper and Blue, we have annotated scoring chances for Games 2-5 of the Colorado-San Jose series. I wanted to see if there was any evidence that the Avs were getting..."
  • Apr 24 2010 The Most Psychologically Fragile - "There is an NHL team that has averaged over 100 points a season since the lockout and has won its division four times. Yet, when it came up against inferior competition in the playoffs in each of..."
  • Apr 23 2010 What Is Evgeni Nabokov Worth - "Evgeni Nabokov has been a fairly pedestrian goaltender since the lockout, but he has drawn a significant salary:"
  • Apr 23 2010 Sharks Avs Through Five - "Is it a sign that you don't live in a real hockey town when you go to a bar on a Thursday night that has hockey paraphernalia on the walls and they don't have the game on, and nobody seems to..."
  • Apr 23 2010 Quote For The Day Patrick Marleau - "The puck just isn?t going into the net, Marleau said. "It?s just one of those things that comes and goes. But it?s not going to stay this way?"
  • Apr 22 2010 Biggest Playoff Outshooting - "As crazy as it might seem, the Sharks 51-17 drubbing of the Avalanche is not the most extreme outshooting result we've seen in recent memory. That honor belongs to Detroit's 51-15 shellacking of..."
  • Apr 22 2010 A Quick Programming Note - I seem to be getting a lot more comments these days from people who want to tell me that statistics in hockey are all bullshit. That I'm over-analyzing the game. That all the matters is the final..."
  • Apr 21 2010 Quick Hook In The Playoffs - I have a short blurb in the Wall Street Journal on both Jaroslav Halak and Roberto Luongo getting pulled in the second period on Monday. Here are the quickest playoff hooks since 1994-95:"
  • Apr 21 2010 Sharks Territorial Dominance Over - Don't think the Avs are getting lucky? Drink these digits in from the Sharks' perspective:"
  • Apr 20 2010 Fooled By Randomness Goaltender - Here's a chart that you should always keep in mind when evaluating goaltenders:"
  • Apr 20 2010 Sharks Saddled With Psychological - Eric Duhatschek fires up the playoff hockey mad libs generator:"
  • Apr 19 2010 Average Playoff Game Length 1980 - There was an assertion last week that the length of games gets longer as we get further into the playoffs. Yes and no:"
  • Apr 19 2010 Colorado Avalanche Make Deal With - "San Jose outshoots Colorado 92-32 with the score tied on the road. The judges have scored the game 110-99, but the Avs still have a chance at a 12th-round knockout."
  • Apr 18 2010 Kings Canucks Preview - Tyler Dellow on Vancouver-LA."
  • Apr 18 2010 How Bad Are Non Pitchers On The - "The Mets and the Cardinals played 18 scoreless innings last night, with the Cards ultimately losing 2-1 in 20. The losing pitcher was St. Louis centerfielder Joe Mather, who also played 3rd base..."
  • Apr 18 2010 Quick Playoff Predictions - We never did finish those playoff previews I promised (OTT-PIT is not going to happen.) JLikens independently comes to roughly the same conclusions and looks at all eight series..."
  • Apr 18 2010 Tyler Dellows Chicago Nashville - "What Tyler wrote was true about a best-of-seven series, and it's true for the best-of-five series that follows..."
  • Apr 16 2010 Goaltender Performance Vs Salary - "We've discussed the notion of goaltender talent numerous times here. Suffice to say, while it's not non-existent, it's much less significant than people tend to believe. But whether it exists or..."
  • Apr 15 2010 Shooting Percentage Vs Age - "There was some discussion the other day about whether shooting percentage should go up as a player ages, presumably hitting a peak in his mid-20s. If we look at players who starting playing in the..."
  • Apr 14 2010 Playoff Preview Phoenix Vs Detroit - "I've written about the Phoenix Coyotes several times: here, here and here. I haven't said much about the Detroit Red Wings. Let's see how their boxcars compare:"
  • Apr 14 2010 Playoff Preview San Jose Vs - "I'm just going to throw a couple of statistics out at you: the ratios of shots for to shots against; on the road; even-strength; with the score tied, as well as the PDO (shot% + save%) in this..."
  • Apr 14 2010 Slap Shot Screenwriter Wants To - "Says Nancy Dowd, whose brother's experience inspired the film: "The Hansons were innocent goons. Not some dirty old guys in wigs. They tell dirty-old-man jokes. I find it offensive."
  • Apr 13 2010 Corsi And Score Effects - "I'm actually going to look at what I believe are called "Fenwick"numbers today - total shots directed at goal excluding blocked shots. Because of rink bias, Fenwick numbers actually correlate..."
  • Apr 13 2010 Playoff Previews - "I know somebody out there was saying that this is a "San Jose Sharks blog"- it disappears in the playoffs - but that's absolutely not true. However, the herculean effort involved in writing..."
  • Apr 13 2010 Goaltender Talent Vs Performance - Sunny wrote something in his post that might seem a bit confusing:"
  • Apr 12 2010 Puck Probability - These guys just got rolling on their site to track Stanley Cup odds and the like. I personally think they have Washington way overrated. So all of you Caps fans can go over there and tell them..."
  • Apr 12 2010 Bruins Score Three Short Handed - "This is pretty amazing (see video), and really unprecedented. In the last decade, a team has scored three short-handed goals in a game just nine times:"
  • Apr 11 2010 The Washington Capitals And Their - Scoring 313 goals in the modern defensive era is a huge achievement. The Capitals have the 7th-highest goal total relative to the league average since the 1967 expansion:"
  • Apr 10 2010 Oilers D Pair Go 3 45 Without A - "This is just incredible. I'm sure these things happened in the past, but technology makes it possible to immediately see such painful hockey in all its glory. Take a look at Copper & Blue for..."
  • Apr 9 2010 My Favorite Nhl Fight Video Of All - Time for a mental health break!"
  • Apr 9 2010 Phoenix Coyotes Back To Being - "If you haven't looked at the guerrilla scoring chances project this season, you don't know what you're missing. There are a few hundred games worth of recorded scoring chances out there, which puts..."
  • Apr 8 2010 Regression To The Mean Comes For - "Derek Zona had a piece yesterday on the recent collapse of the Colorado Avalanche. Derek gives me credit for my analysis, but lest anything think I'm an oracle, it's not all rainbows and ponies..."
  • Apr 8 2010 Strike Zone Size Vs Count - "This is sheer genius, and it's a great example of what you can do with tracking data in sports. Not surprisingly, the strike zone is huge at 3-0."
  • Apr 8 2010 Western Conference Stanley Cup Odds - "Here are today's odds, adjusting for the vig:"
  • Apr 7 2010 Youthful Achievements Barry - "I highly recommend taking a quick spin through hockey-reference.com's game and season database search tools. Here are the top playoff scorers from age 18 to 21, minimum 20 games played, ranked by..."
  • Apr 6 2010 Pierre Lebrun On 2nd Half Record - Pierre LeBrun writes:"
  • Apr 5 2010 Swallowing The Whistle In The - "We know that referees are very reluctant to give power-plays in the playoffs. Right? Well, maybe not:"
  • Apr 4 2010 Stalock Keeps Making The Big Saves - It's stuff like this that hurts me like internal bleeding:"
  • Apr 1 2010 Worst Faceoff Teams Since 1997 98 - Here are the ten-worst faceoff teams since the NHL started recording data in 1997:"
  • Mar 30 2010 Best Faceoff Teams Since 1997 98 - "While it's difficult to not improve a failing faceoff crew, it's a lot harder to keep a good faceoff corps together. Skill-testing question: what do five of the ten-best teams since 1997 have in..."
  • Mar 29 2010 Team Faceoff Percentage Since 1997 - "Something I want to make clear: several people have noted that the difference between the best faceoff teams and the worst faceoff teams isn't that large, perhaps at most three wins in a single..."
  • Mar 27 2010 Interview With Globe Mail Hockeys - Here's a link to the interview. My quote:"
  • Mar 26 2010 2009 10 Hit Leaders - "I just wanted to update the league-wide hit leaders. First, the league leaders in away hits:"
  • Mar 25 2010 Henrik Sedin And True Shooting - "On January 22nd, I wrote about how Henrik Sedin's early-season goal-scoring 'breakout' was illusory. How has he done since then?"
  • Mar 24 2010 Nhl Salary Increases Since 2000 01 - Tyler Dellow got me thinking about this - the impact of the new CBA and the salary cap has not been felt uniformly by any means. While the 50th to 80th salary percentile experienced roughly the..."
  • Mar 23 2010 Andrei Markov What Is His Value To - The Montreal Canadiens have been two different teams this season - with Andrei Markov and without:"
  • Mar 22 2010 Best And Worst Faceoff Takers - "The NHL has been recording a huge number of statistics for every game since 1997, but they have yet to master turning data into interesting insights. Case in point: hits and faceoffs. We always..."
  • Mar 21 2010 Leighton Vs Boucher Why Is That Bad - "From the ESPN trade rumors, on the subject of Philadelphia acquiring Tim Thomas:"
  • Mar 20 2010 Top Scoring Goalies - The Contrarian Goaltender looks at goalie assists over the last few decades. Sheer genius!"
  • Mar 20 2010 Montreal Canadiens Youd Like To - "Montreal and Toronto played the 5th game of their six-game season series tonight. Montreal was not able to win any of these games in regulation, losing one and going to OT four times, but luckily..."
  • Mar 19 2010 Forget The Avs Lets Worry About - "For several seasons, the San Jose Sharks have combined strong 5-on-5 offense with defense that prevented their opponents from getting shots against them. In each of the last two seasons, the..."
  • Mar 18 2010 Corsi Percentage By Period - "I got a few questions about Monday's piece on Corsi Percentage at even-strength with the scored tied. In particular, people wanted to see how Corsi Percentage varied by lead and by period. There..."
  • Mar 17 2010 Empty Net Goals And One Goal Games - "In the last 90 seconds of a one- or two-goal hockey game, the trailing team gets much more value out of scoring a goal than they do out of preventing one. Hence the strategy of pulling the..."
  • Mar 16 2010 Colorado Avalanche Worried Yet - "Following on yesterday's post about Corsi percentage: The Colorado Avalanche have been one of the year's surprise success stories. After finishing 28th in the league last season, they came out of..."
  • Mar 15 2010 Corsi Percentage Up One Down One - "I just wanted to re-visit league-wide Corsi percentages at even-strength for teams in tied or one-goal games. Chicago continues their dominance on the shot board, while Toronto is improbably..."
  • Mar 12 2010 Biggest Brawls Of The Last 23 Years - "We've only got data back to 1987, so a lot of the really big brawls of the past are missing. Here are the five-biggest regular season brawls plus the biggest playoff brawl:"
  • Mar 11 2010 How Long Is The Olympic Hangover - "
  • Mar 11 2010 Espn Wrong And Bad With Small - "Malcolm Gladwell has written extensively about the birthday phenomenon in sports: when youth leagues use a birthday cut-off (say January 1st), the majority of players tend to be older rather than..."
  • Mar 10 2010 Offensive Dominance Goal Scored - "This post came out of a neat idea from the guys at Copper n Blue who, like me, have no team to cheer for anymore, and have turned their energy to the entire league. They wondered which players..."
  • Mar 9 2010 Exceeding Expectations Top Corsi - "One of the best ways to evaluate a player's performance is to count the amount of time his team and his opponets had the puck while he was on the ice. Nobody collects that data, but counting the..."
  • Mar 9 2010 Edmonton Water Usage During The - Can this be for real?"
  • Mar 8 2010 Are Expensive Goaltenders Worth - One of the recurring topics over at Tyler Dellow's site is goaltending. Tyler has some great analysis over the years - he showed the extent to which past save percentage predicts future save..."
  • Mar 5 2010 Is It Possible To Determine - "There's a huge amount of year-to-year variation in goaltender performance. The general consensus is that save percentage converges to true talent levels after approximately four full seasons,..."
  • Mar 4 2010 Worst Single Game Shot - The Edmonton Oilers gave away their entire defense this week and dressed a weaker roster than the Swiss brought to the Olympics against conference-leading Chicago. The Oilers actually hung in for..."
  • Mar 4 2010 Edmontons Defense Worse Than - "Edmonton rolled six "defensemen"last night, presumably because they couldn't find a 7th one inside the organization. Here's the painful truth:"
  • Mar 4 2010 Early Front Runner For Douchebag - Astonishingly stupid commentary on the Vancouver Olympics. Set aside the moronic comparisons to 1936. Lebreton thinks Canadians failed to recognize the significance of Brenden Morrow living part..."
  • Mar 3 2010 Optimal Shift Length Vs Average - A number of people emailed me to ask if forwards who took longer shifts on average were better later on in the shift than players who took shorter shifts. "
  • Mar 2 2010 Psychological Impact Of Sh Vs - This question came up in the open thread back in December:"
  • Mar 1 2010 One Man Penalty Kills - "A little while back, I looked at which players had been on the ice for the highest percentage of their teams' power-play goals. The dual is obviously which players have been on the ice for the..."
  • Mar 1 2010 Blogging Vacation - "After watching 20+ hockey games in under two weeks, I have to take a little mental vacation from hockey coverage. You'll be treated to random crap this week, and I'll be back on March 8th. Feel..."
  • Mar 1 2010 2010 Olympic Recap - I have a quick statistical recap of the Olympic hockey tournament over at Puck Prospectus."
  • Feb 28 2010 Shot Totals In 1980 Us Ussr Game - "I've been getting a few searches for this data, so I thought I'd post it:"
  • Feb 28 2010 Olympic Gold Medal Game Three - "1. Canada had a better team than the US. Even with Canada up most of the game and not pressing, they still out-shot the US 61-54, including 35-24 close-in."
  • Feb 27 2010 Canadian Womens Hockey Could - "Anybody remember the 2009 Stanley Cup celebration? While it involved no beer or cigars on the ice, the Pittsburgh Penguins decided the best way to go was to skate about 35 feet with the cup and..."
  • Feb 27 2010 Odds Of Canada Winning The Olympic - "I suppose I could have titled this "Odds of Team USA winning the Gold Medal,"but you gotta make up your mind one way or the other. I hunted around a bit for today's lines on the Gold Medal game. ..."
  • Feb 27 2010 Whos The Better Goaltender Ryan - "I was talking to a friend of mine last night about the gold medal game, and he said he'd rather have Ryan Miller in goal than Roberto Luongo. Why? Miller has a 930 save percentage this season;..."
  • Feb 26 2010 Olympic Hockey Semi Final Stats - "You can see odds for individual games and medal in my post from yesterday. I wanted to a quick run-down of statistical performance thus far for the teams in today's Semi-Finals. First, for..."
  • Feb 26 2010 Ap Proves Stupid Sportswriting Is - "It seems clear that Olympic journalism school teaches that the only good article is one that talks about how long it has been since something happened. Jaime Aron, writing for AP, tells us:"
  • Feb 25 2010 One Hell Of A Day Of Hockey - "Justifiably unwilling to part with Canada-Russia tickets, and unable to sell USA-Switzerland and Sweden-Slovakia tickets, I saw all three games today. Miscellaneous thoughts:"
  • Feb 25 2010 Olympic Hockey Gold And Silver And - People were betting on four outcomes yesterday: 1) USA over Switzerland handily; 2) Canada to beat Russia in a tight game; 3) Czechs over Finland in a tight game; and 4) Sweden over Slovakia. The..."
  • Feb 24 2010 Olympic Hockey Quarter Final Odds - "No upsets yesterday, though the Swiss, Czech and Slovak wins were way closer than they should have been. But the quarter-finals move along exactly as expected."
  • Feb 24 2010 Olympic Hockey Shooting Stats - "Want more evidence that the top two teams in the tournament are meeting today in the quarterfinals? Canada and Russia have thus far led the tournament in the ratio of what I like to call "close..."
  • Feb 24 2010 Miracle And The Incoherence Of 140 - "I'll have to admit that I have yet to figure out the finer points of twitter - our blogging software automatically posts links for us on it, but beyond that, I'd have to say that I'm a neophyte. I..."
  • Feb 23 2010 Working Backwards From Gold Medal - "I'm going to do things a little differently today. Usually we figure out how good we think various teams are, and then simulate a season or a tournament to determine their odds of winning. But we..."
  • Feb 23 2010 2010 Olympic Hockey Bracket The - "Following on with the simulation I did for my previous post, which gives Team USA a 50/50 chance of reaching the finals, I wanted to show the tournament outcome that came up the most often. And..."
  • Feb 23 2010 Germany 14 Years Of Sad Hockey - Germany has played in five top international hockey tournaments since the Berlin Wall fell. Their record against good teams is a sad 1-17:"
  • Feb 22 2010 Comparison Of Mens And Womens - "Men's Olympic hockey still has yet to reach parity - with 12 teams in the Olympic tournament, five are bound to be bad. Here are the cumulative stats in games among the good teams (CAN, USA, RUS,..."
  • Feb 22 2010 Olympic Vacation - "I'm leaving for Vancouver on Tuesday, so this blog is going to go on auto-pilot for a few days and answer some of the questions people have sent me over the last few months. Feel free to load this..."
  • Feb 22 2010 Intentionally Obtuse Team Usas - "I heard this claim during the Sweden-Finland game just now. But this ignores the fact that there have been other international competitions - the Olympics, despite their modern importance, were..."
  • Feb 22 2010 Opening Round Shooting Statistics - "We've now had five games between legitimate teams. As often happens, the losing teams have outshot the winners in the aggregate:"
  • Feb 22 2010 Ap Complete Ignorance Of Hockey - Alan Robinson of the Associated Press writes of yesterday's game between Canada and the US:"
  • Feb 21 2010 Well That Was Disappointing - "Down the bulk of the game, Canada outshot and outchanced the US by a factor of 2. Bad bounces, bad penalties and Martin Brodeur's crazy baseball swing made a Canadian win that much less likely."
  • Feb 20 2010 Would A Rest Of The World All Star - "It should be clear that there are seven countries in the world that are competitive at the highest levels of international hockey tournaments: Canada, the US, Russia, the Czechs, Slovakia, Finland..."
  • Feb 19 2010 Nhl Mid Season Statistical Leaders - "On Monday, I looked at the leaders in some very basic (advanced) statistical categories. This time, let's go a little more obscure. First, a statistic that's so important, it should be published..."
  • Feb 19 2010 Canadian Shots Vs Switzerland - "Say what you want about Canada's inability to score yesterday - they certainly got a lot of good scoring chances. Canada took 61 shots in total, including 30 shots inside the most dangerous zone..."
  • Feb 19 2010 The Odds Of Canada Winning The - "Jon Willis has a nice discussion of how the outcome of the Olympics will be viewed if Canada wins or loses. It's important to keep in mind that even if Canada is the best team in the world, the..."
  • Feb 19 2010 Olympic Hockey Shooting - "I divided each team's shots so far into "close"(CS) and "far"(FS) shots. Close shots are all shots taken below the top of the faceoff circle, between the faceoff dots, and on no worse than a..."
  • Feb 19 2010 Canadian Territorial Dominance Vs - "One last thought on last night's game: Canada completely dominated Switzerland in the face-off circle. Not only did Canada win over 60% of offensive and defensive zone faceoffs, but almost 60% of..."
  • Feb 18 2010 Czech Slovak Lines - Rosters:"
  • Feb 18 2010 Canada Switzerland Lines - Rosters:"
  • Feb 18 2010 How Often Do You Outshoot Your - "Canada narrowly escaped with a win against Switzerland, taking everything down to the shootout tossup. But they outshot Switzerland 46-23, which, in a close game, normally indicates puck..."
  • Feb 18 2010 Full Game Canadian Lines Vs - #"
  • Feb 17 2010 Level Of Play And Scoring Leaders - It literally isn't every year that there's a major world hockey tournament featuring the best players from every country. Here's a list of every significant international tournament over the last..."
  • Feb 17 2010 The Gradual Improvement In Olympic - "The Olympics have gradually changed from a purely amateur tournament at its outset to a partially-professional tournament in the 1980s and early 1990s and finally, its present format as the top..."
  • Feb 17 2010 Historical Team Records In Olympic - "Olympic Hockey has really only been a legitimately contested sport since 1980. Before that seminal year, the Winter Olympics was rarely able to field a full slate of competitive teams. Boycotts..."
  • Feb 17 2010 Group A Game 3 Russia Latvia - "I thought I might be able to hack the Olympic stats so that I could effectively see who was on the ice at any given time. Unfortunately, the icetime stats get updated irregularly - on average,..."
  • Feb 17 2010 Three Part Olympic Analysis - I just wanted to post some Olympic Hockey analysis to get you fired up for this year's tournament:"
  • Feb 17 2010 Finland Belarus Lines - Rosters for Today's Game:"
  • Feb 17 2010 Nbc Stupidity - Who came up with the broadcast plan that only shows the 2nd and 3rd periods of men's hockey games? After sitting through a painful women's hockey game where Canada beat Sweden 14-1 and Cammie..."
  • Feb 17 2010 Sweden Germany Lines - Rosters:"
  • Feb 16 2010 Jochen Hecht Why Was His Spot On - "For reasons that escape me, Jochen Hecht was initially left off the German Olympic roster. Said Lindy Ruff at the time:"
  • Feb 16 2010 Group A Game 1 Usa Switzerland - "Not a lot of shots in the first period: 8-5 USA. The Swiss rolled Streit/Weber as the top D pairing, with Diaz/Blindenbacher as the second unit (and they were unfortunately on the ice for the goal..."
  • Feb 15 2010 Nhl Mid Season Statistics Leaders - "I thought I'd take a look at the statistical leaders in some very slightly advanced metrics. First, for some perspective, the league leaders in Points per 60 Minutes of 5v5 Ice Time over the last..."
  • Feb 15 2010 Group A Olympic Hockey Preview - Nice look at Group A (Canada/USA) by Scott Reynolds."
  • Feb 14 2010 Canadas Great Shame - "If I could get Olympics coverage from a network other than NBC, believe me, I'd get it. But I'm stuck for now, and I have to listen to the constant refrain that the Canadian people suffered some..."
  • Feb 12 2010 Sometimes You Forget How The Game - "During Don Cherry's one season coaching the Colorado Rockies, Denver was dotted with billboards that proclaimed: "Come to the fights and watch a Rockies game break out!"That image of hockey is..."
  • Feb 12 2010 Olympic Hockey Analysis Open - I have to admit I'm pretty stoked for the Olympics. I put in for the ticket lottery and ended up with tickets for Canada's quarter-final game and for one of the semi-finals. So I'm heading up to..."
  • Feb 11 2010 Optimal Even Strength Shift Length - "Tyler Dellow had a nice post about average shift lengths, and how the leaders almost all play in the Eastern Conference. To quote Tyler: "it seems to me that being on the ice after a minute is..."
  • Feb 11 2010 Nhl Network Telecasts Should Not - Are Ken Daniels and Mickey Redmond the two biggest homer announcers in the league? I surely think so..."
  • Feb 10 2010 Shift Length Change Since 1997 98 - The NHL has been collecting detailed ice time statistics since the 1997-98 season. One interesting thing that we can see is a shift in individual shift lengths:"
  • Feb 8 2010 One Man Power Plays - I thought this was an interesting list - players who were on the ice for the highest percentage of their teams' power-play goals. Clearly power-play usage has changed over the years - Phil..."
  • Feb 8 2010 Tallet Players More Likely To Be - "Study of more than 100,000 fouls show shorter players get backing of officials in soccer...At 6'2, I already knew this..."
  • Feb 6 2010 Tragedy Strikes Brian Burkes Family - This is a truly sad story. My condolences to the families of Brendan Burke and Mark Reedy."
  • Feb 5 2010 The Real Career Nhl Goal Scoring - "Tom Tango keeps reminding me of this, and he's right: why do we only count regular season goals in a player's career total? Why don't playoff goals - against tougher competition - count? And why..."
  • Feb 5 2010 Kovalchuk - "Tyler's excitement about the Kovalchuk deal notwithstanding, New Jersey gave up a lot in this deal. The Devils do win the deal in 2009-10 - a few months of Kovalchuk, including the playoffs, is..."
  • Feb 4 2010 Alex Ovechkin Will He Be The All - "If I had a statistical question, would I email it to John Buccigross? Well, someone did:"
  • Feb 4 2010 Dial F For Fired - "Scott Reynolds does a nice analysis of Ken Hitchcock, and gives us a bit of insight into his in-game strategy."
  • Feb 4 2010 Tyler Loves The Kovalchuk Deal - "SB Nation founder Tyler Bleszinski is a huge Devils fan, and even though he yet again became a proud father just this morning, nothing could keep him off the internets on this one."
  • Feb 3 2010 2007 2010 5v5 Tough Matchup Leaders - "I just updated the 2007-08 and 2008-09 Quality of Competition rankings on behindthenet.ca, and I wanted to see what three years worth of combined statistics tell us about tough matchups. The top..."
  • Feb 2 2010 Leverage Pre And Post Lockout - "Leverage is a concept that gets used a lot in baseball - it's essentially the probability of winning at a given point in a game. In hockey, unlike baseball, teams are awarded a point for losing,..."
  • Feb 2 2010 2007 08 And 2008 09 Corsi Quality - Sheer laziness is the only thing that kept me from writing the code to add this to the site."
  • Feb 1 2010 Who Gets The Toughest Matchups - "I hope you're familiar with the concept of "Quality of Competition"at behindthenet.ca. (You can find a short primer on it here.) At any rate, I wanted to post the rankings for defensemen on..."
  • Feb 1 2010 Rickard Wallin Hasnt Scored Since - "I'm sure it sounded good when Kevin McGran wrote this about Leafs forward Rickard Wallin, but doesn't it seem like he's leaving out part of the story?"
  • Jan 30 2010 Paul Henderson We Showed You Didnt - "On Hockey Day in Canada, Ron MacLean asked Paul Henderson for some comments on his line in the 1972 Summit Series - with Bobby Clarke and Ron Ellis. Henderson replied: "We showed that you didn't..."
  • Jan 29 2010 Best Power Plays Of The Last 20 - "Last Monday, I looked back at the best power-plays of the last 45 or so years, and it turned out to be dominated by teams from the mid-to-late-1970s. While I'm as big a fan of the WHA days as..."
  • Jan 28 2010 Uncertainty In Sports Outcomes Or - "Building on a long ago post by Tom Tango, Tyler Dellow started up an interesting conversation about random variance in head-to-head outcomes in different sports. (I highly recommend reading both..."
  • Jan 28 2010 Leafs Open To Trading Garnet - "Garnet Exelby, who's currently 9th on the Leafs defensive depth chart, is on the trading block. Exelby is 24th out of 25 Leafs in terms of tough minutes this year. Even so, his Corsi number is..."
  • Jan 27 2010 Historical Right Handed Shooting - "Just following up on yesterday's post, I wanted to show the percentage of games played and goals scored by right-handed shooters since the dawn of time:"
  • Jan 26 2010 Who Shoots Left - "I'm right-handed and I shoot right, making me an anomaly: most right-handed Canadian hockey players who started playing at a young age shoot left. But in California, where many players picked up..."
  • Jan 26 2010 Nhl Gamecenter - "I have a pretty elaborate setup to watch hockey. I hate getting my local (Sharks) games blacked-out, so I actually get the Center Ice package at my parents' house and watch games over my Sling. ..."
  • Jan 25 2010 How Little Can One Man Possibly - "Here's a list of the players who've had the least ice time per game of the last 11 seasons, with a minimum of 164 games played:"
  • Jan 25 2010 The Goon Patrol Rating Hockeys - You've seen the ELO fighter ratings on this site before - now we've moved them to the WSJ."
  • Jan 22 2010 Henrik Sedin What Does His - "Jon Willis had a nice piece about Henrik Sedin, also known as 'the guy who passes to Daniel Sedin.' Henrik is almost at his career-high in goals with barely half the season gone thanks to an..."
  • Jan 21 2010 Nhl Points Per Game Peak Age - "There are numerous ways to estimate the age at which NHL players peak. You could, for example, count all games played by players at each age or count the number of players at each age and assume..."
  • Jan 21 2010 Georges Laraque Released By - Those who were looking forward to a Laraque-Rypien tussle on February 2nd will have to wait a lot longer. Tyler Dellow suggests Laraque could be President of Haiti."
  • Jan 20 2010 When Do Nhl Teams Play For The Tie - Some of you might think that my blog is about 50% about NHL overtime. I'll admit it's pretty close. But I'm intrigued by the strange incentives that the extra point bring to the table. I've seen..."
  • Jan 19 2010 Taking A Beating League Leaders In - "We all know who the big hitters are, but have you ever wondered who gets hit the most? Looking at road hits over the last two seasons, it's primarily defensemen:"
  • Jan 19 2010 Working The Land Of The Metricians - On the question of whether bloggers know anything or should we just defer to economists with PhDs:"
  • Jan 18 2010 Top Power Plays Since 1963 - "If you had to guess, what would you say was the best PP unit of all-time? Surprisingly, it's the New York Islanders - before they rattled off their string of four Stanley Cups. With Bryan..."
  • Jan 18 2010 Jaroslav Spaceks Bad Season - "Jon Willis does a nice analysis of Spacek's lower point totals. Moral of the story: when you're asked to be a shutdown defenseman, you will score less. It doesn't mean you're hurting your team!"
  • Jan 17 2010 Those Were The Days For The Leafs - "After a brief spell where they appeared to be playing up to their talent level, the Leafs have been horrendous again. And, as a result, the rose-coloured glasses and sepia-toned photographs come..."
  • Jan 15 2010 Slight Statistical Improvement - "Sunny Mehta pointed out a very good change to the Quality of Competition algorithm. Instead of using relative +/- (which includes just goals when a player is on or off the ice), it would be better..."
  • Jan 14 2010 The Nhls Best Even Strength - I put together a stats sheet at the beginning of the year looking at individual player shooting. I estimated the expected number of goals that each player should have scored each year based on the..."
  • Jan 12 2010 Why No 4 On 4 Or 5 On 3 Or 3 On 5 - "If you've ever visited Behindthenet.ca, you'll notice that I don't lump all even-strength or man-advantage play together. Instead, 5-on-5 play is separated from 4-on-4, and 5-on-4 and 4-on-5 are..."
  • Jan 11 2010 Scoring Rate By Time And Goal - "Back in December, I looked at scoring rates in tie games, and Tom Tango thought it would be interesting to see the same numbers for all goal differentials. Here goes, from the visiting team's..."
  • Jan 10 2010 Worst Penalty Killing Teams Since - "The NHL first started recording power-play and penalty-kill opportunities during the 1963-64 season. With Toronto's partial season called out, the 10 worst teams since then have been:"
  • Jan 7 2010 Tom Awads Gvt Now On Behindthenet - "By popular request, it will be updated daily. Here's the link:"
  • Dec 28 2009 Players Of The Decade Ice Time - Here are the first five parts of my series on the decade that was:"
  • Dec 28 2009 Players Of The Decade Per Game - Here are the first six parts of my series on the decade that was:"
  • Dec 28 2009 Teams Of The Decade Playoff Wins - It's a long-standing question: is it better to go to the playoffs every year and win once or twice? Or is it better to go not quite as often and still win the same number of times? The teams with..."
  • Dec 28 2009 Players Of The Decade Playoffs - Today's trivia question: two players won three Stanley Cups between 2000 and 2009. Who were they? Answer at the bottom of the column..."
  • Dec 28 2009 Best Of The Decade Series - "Rather than waiting until the end of the week, I thought I'd publish all nine posts in my series on the best teams and players of the last decade. Why nine posts? With the lockout, there were..."
  • Dec 25 2009 Happy Birthday To Stu Barnes - "I've always liked Stu Barnes. I think it has a lot to do with him starting his career out on my favorite team, the Winnipeg Jets. My memory of exactly what happened back then is a little hazy,..."
  • Dec 24 2009 Players Of The Decade Shots On Goal - Here are the first four parts of my disjointed series on the decade that was:"
  • Dec 23 2009 Players Of The Decade + And Pims - Here are the first three parts of my disjointed series on the decade that was:"
  • Dec 22 2009 Sending A Lot Of Players To The - Apparently there's some concern in Chicago over the large number of Blackhawks who look like they'll crack Olympic rosters. I took a look back at how teams have done following the Olympics based..."
  • Dec 21 2009 Wall Street Journal Column Nhl - "I've discussed the post-lockout Overtime/Shootout combination several times over the last month. In particular, I pointed out that teams could vastly improve their records by pushing games into OT,..."
  • Dec 20 2009 Eastern Conference Death Watch - It's time for my weekly installment looking at the downward spiral of bad Eastern Conference teams:"
  • Dec 18 2009 Players Of The Decade - "(I'm jumping around a bit here, from leading teams to leading players. I'm writing about what springs to mind, so I can't guarantee consistency from day-to-day...)"
  • Dec 17 2009 How Does Playing In The Olympics - "We now have three different Olympics to look at, and I wondered if there were any perceptible differences in player performance based on whether they played in the tournament that year or not. ..."
  • Dec 16 2009 Teams Of The Decade Shooting And - "We've seen in numerous contexts that the key to winning hockey games is outshooting your opponents: in the long-run (like a decade), your shooting percentage will converge to near the..."
  • Dec 16 2009 Uwe Krupp Faces Tough Decisions In - Jeff Klein has a great piece on the trials and tribulations of coaching the 9th-best team in the world..."
  • Dec 15 2009 Teams Of The Decade Wins - "James Mirtle had the great idea of doing a statistical run-down of the top teams of the past decade. I'm actually using the 1999-2000 season through the beginning of this season, with adjustments..."
  • Dec 14 2009 Beating Up On The Little Or Big - The question of tall players hitting short players and whether these hits should be called as head shots came up in the SB Nation discussion list. So I started wondering if there are any..."
  • Dec 14 2009 Evolution Of The Shutout Record - "Bruce McCurdy has another great historical piece, this time on how Martin Brodeur got to be the shutout record-holder."
  • Dec 13 2009 The Ugly Canadiens - "In their last 12 games, Montreal has been outshot by 67%, or 33-23 per game. Miraculously, they're 5-4-3 in regulation, and they've scored 33 goals and allowed 32. They've managed to do this with..."
  • Dec 11 2009 Rick Rypien - "Every once in a while, you see an obvious innovation in a game that makes you wonder why it wasn't obvious to every single player. Rick Rypien of the Vancouver Canucks has brought one to NHL..."
  • Dec 11 2009 Contrarian Goaltender On Low Shot - The recently unmasked Contrarian Goaltender looks at which goalies often face very few shots in a game and why."
  • Dec 10 2009 What Is Glenn Healy Talking About - "I rarely watch the Hockey Night in Canada intermission panels, but I was too lazy to change the channel during the Flames-Sharks game on Saturday. What drew Glenn Healy's ire? The Flames didn't..."
  • Dec 9 2009 Checking Back In With The Ushl - "Two years ago, I looked at how the USHL had gone from producing an insignificant number of NHL players to accounting for almost 10% of the pros in less than a decade. Forget the 'Miracle on Ice' -..."
  • Dec 9 2009 Anti Competitive Shootouts - "Over at Puck Prospectus, I lay out a number of reasons why the shootout is anti-competitive."
  • Dec 8 2009 All Time Shutout Leader Martin - "When I started following sports more than 25 years ago, there were records that seemed unbreakable to me: Bob Beamon's 29-foot 2.5-inch long jump in the Mexico City Olympics; Roger Maris hitting 61..."
  • Dec 7 2009 Leafs And Habs Watch - "When we checked last week, there was still an argument that the Leafs might be worse than the Canadiens. Toronto's regulation winning percentage was better than Montreal's, but the Leafs goal..."
  • Dec 3 2009 Do Goalies Need To Face Shots In - Hockey announcers say goaltenders need to face frequent shots in order to stay sharp during a game. Do the numbers back this up?"
  • Dec 2 2009 Impact Of Travel On Offensive - "Last week, I looked at how the number of days of rest a player had affected his offensive performance. But not all back-to-back games are created equal - two home games in two days is not the same..."
  • Dec 2 2009 Pierre Lebrun On The Ot So Points - "We should reward excellence, teams going for it and trying to win, one NHL executive, who requested anonymity, told ESPN.com this week. "We shouldn't reward teams doing the rope-and-dope and..."
  • Dec 1 2009 Leafs Canadiens 12 1 09 - Tonight's games will feature an epic 'Original Six' battle between two of the worst teams in the league. The standings in regulation really aren't pretty:"
  • Dec 1 2009 How Well Do Official Scorers Count - "Sunny Mehta watches a few NHL games, checks out the official scorer's performance at counting shots...and walks away unimpressed."
  • Nov 30 2009 Referee Homer Bias - Which NHL referees exhibit the strongest bias towards the home team? "
  • Nov 29 2009 Behind The Net Goes To An Actual - "I don't actually live very close to an NHL arena - the Sharks play 55 miles from my house, which is a huge time investment to see a game. Their games are almost always completely sold out these..."
  • Nov 26 2009 Scoring In Overtime - "Since the lockout, 55% of games that have gone to overtime have then ended up in the shootout. Eye-balling it, it looks like scoring is pretty uniform:"
  • Nov 26 2009 Thanksgiving Day Chart - "From the turkey's perspective, this was unexpected. Sometimes you just can't use past observed data - even a lot of it - to project future events:"
  • Nov 25 2009 Is Past Ot Performance A Good - "Commenter Saskhab had some concerns about the assumption that OT performance is primarily luck. In particular: "I don?t think we can use 5 on 5 play as the predictor for 4 on 4 play."
  • Nov 24 2009 Overtime - "I've mentioned a few times that overtime and shootout outcomes are essentially "luck."I wanted to put some numbers on it so you can see what I mean. "
  • Nov 24 2009 Three Sentences In The Wsj On The - Extra Time Isn't Kind To The Failing Leafs: Enjoy!"
  • Nov 23 2009 Effects Of Fresh Legs On Offensive - Tom Awad had a great piece last week on the significant impact that playing back-to-back games has on a team's performance. I thought I'd take a look at the impact that rest has on individual..."
  • Nov 22 2009 A Little Luck Here - "Maybe I haven't been paying close enough attention, but nobody seems to have noticed that the Montreal Canadiens have been a truly horrible team this season. Let's compare them to the Leafs in..."
  • Nov 20 2009 Why Per Game Metrics Cant Evaluate - "Earlier this week, I briefly discussed Malcolm Gladwell's assertion that there's no relationship between draft position and a quarterback's performance in the NFL. Gladwell cited a paper that..."
  • Nov 20 2009 How Much Are Fresh Legs Worth In - "Tom Awad looks at the impact of playing back-to-back games in the NHL. Against a rested team, it's worth as much as home-ice advantage (in the other direction, of course...)"
  • Nov 19 2009 What Do The Betting Markets Really - "On Tuesday, I looked at some dire predictions for the Toronto Maple Leafs: they supposedly had just a 1.7% chance of making the playoffs, and a 1-in-125 chance of winning the Stanley Cup. I pulled..."
  • Nov 18 2009 Whats The Matter With Gladwell - "Malcolm Gladwell is a great writer - his writing style is very enjoyable, and his focus on the counter-intuitive has won him many fans. If he wrote about things I knew nothing about, I'd probably..."
  • Nov 17 2009 Fun With Numbers How Not To - "The top story on the Toronto Star's website today was the ominous-sounding "Leafs chances of getting to playoffs? 1.7%."This 1.7% figure comes from sportsclubstats.com, which runs Monte Carlo..."
  • Nov 16 2009 How The Toronto Maple Leafs Have - I recently mentioned that the 2008-09 Leafs outshot their opponents when they had the lead. This is not common - most teams protect a lead by not taking chances which would result in quality..."
  • Nov 15 2009 How Bad Teams Outshoot Their - "The indispensable Vic Ferrari wrote something a couple of weeks back that looked a little more deeply into my post on bad teams that outshot their opponents. In particular, I had written of the..."
  • Nov 14 2009 Finnish Prospects In The Nhl - "About Teemu Hartikainen, Scott Reynolds asks:"
  • Nov 11 2009 Lest We Forget - "
  • Nov 10 2009 League Leaders Takeaways Penalties - "Yesterday, I listed the league leaders in deflections since the lockout. Three other statistics that may convey offensive ability around the net are offensive zone takeaways, offensive zone..."
  • Nov 6 2009 Goaltenders The Expansion Years - "The NHL started recording shots by players during the 1967-68 season, but for whatever reason, they didn't record shots stopped by goaltenders until 1983-84. It's an odd omission, and author..."
  • Nov 4 2009 The Five Worst Teams That Outshot - "R O from Matchsticks and Gasoline wondered what the flip-side of the winning teams who were outshot looked like. That is, which teams outshot their opponents but did poorly either due to poor..."
  • Nov 3 2009 Kyle Quincey 1 Defenseman - Kyle Quincey has been front-and-center in the Colorado Avalanche's quick start to the season. The off-season pickup from the Los Angeles Kings has had all the hallmarks of a top defenseman - he's..."
  • Nov 2 2009 The Five Best Teams That Were - "It's an accepted truism that teams that get outshot tend to have losing records. This has always been true, but it is even truer today given the parity of the NHL. There are certainly exceptions..."
  • Nov 1 2009 Jacques Plante And The Mask - "
  • Oct 30 2009 Just A Bit More Perspective On - "Since the NHL expanded to 12 teams in 1967-68, thirty-one franchises have played 908 total seasons. If you had to guess, what percentage of those seasons do you think included a 10-game stretch..."
  • Oct 29 2009 Shooting Percentage By Game State - "Yesterday, I discussed how expected shooting percentage (aka shot quality) varies when teams have the lead. Today I want to look at how even-strength shooting characteristics vary both when teams..."
  • Oct 29 2009 Colorados Hot Start - James Mirtle's post about the Colorado Avalanche's unexpectedly hot start got me wondering about historical precedents. Their numbers so far in regulation are impressive:"
  • Oct 29 2009 Tom Awad On Sakic And Sundin - "Tom Awad has a nice post on the Sakic and Sundin legacies. Unlike Tom, I was watching the 1989 draft...My memory could be failing, but the consensus was that Sundin and Bobby Holik should go #1..."
  • Oct 28 2009 Shooting With The Lead - "The invaluable J. Likens wrote on his blog a while back about how shot rate and shooting percentage depend on the score, finding, in particular that:"
  • Oct 28 2009 I Love Letters To The Editor - From the Toronto Star:"
  • Oct 27 2009 New Statistics Added To - "I'm taking a break from frequent posting this week to do a little website upgrade and maintenance. Oilers blogger and fan Bruce McCurdy suggested that I add PDO numbers, along with their..."
  • Oct 27 2009 Phil Birnbaum On The Dangers Of - Phil highlights some of the mistakes you can easily make if you use regression blindly:"
  • Oct 27 2009 Leafs Finally Win One - There have been lots of reasons all season to think that the Leafs are a lot better than they've actually played. The fact that no team - not even the expansion Atlanta Thrashers - has been this..."
  • Oct 26 2009 Minnesota Wild God Awful Without - "
  • Oct 22 2009 Ok One Last Post On Regression To - "While there isn't exactly parity in the NHL these days, the league is much more evenly-matched than it was during the "Original Six"era. What this chart shows is the regression to the mean of..."
  • Oct 22 2009 On French Canadians In The Nhl - [A version of this post originally appeared in French.]"
  • Oct 21 2009 Last Post On Regression To The - "There are lots of statistical concepts that I was introduced to in baseball that I realize haven't been sufficient explored or even explained as they relate to hockey. "Regression to the Mean"is..."
  • Oct 21 2009 Le Quebec Mis En Echec Pour La - "J'attend le nouveau livre de Bob Sirois, ancien jouer du LNH, qui d?taille la discrimination contre les joueurs d'hockey Qu?b?cois francophones. C'est un sujet tr?s peu ?tudi?, m?me si il y a..."
  • Oct 21 2009 Rich Pollock On One Goal Games In - Rich looks at teams' records in one-goal games over the last four years:"
  • Oct 21 2009 Bad Incentives - Sunny Mehta brings up an interesting point in the comments about one-goal games:"
  • Oct 20 2009 Shootouts Goaltender True Talent - "As an add-on to my previous piece in shooter talent, I wanted to apply the same methodology to goaltender performance on shootouts. First, let's see if performance in 2005-06 predicted future..."
  • Oct 20 2009 James Mirtle On The Leafs The Path - James makes use of some Behind the Net stats on bad starts that were interesting to too many people to make the cut here at my esoteric blog:"
  • Oct 19 2009 Shootouts Does Past Performance - "In a piece that's all-but-lost to anything but the WayBackMachine, I contemplated the shootout just a few tens of games into the 2005-06 season. I was surprised to find that players who scored..."
  • Oct 18 2009 On Bad Starts By Mostly Bad Hockey - "It's nice to think that the Leafs' seven-game winless start is somehow unprecedented. Well, not nice, exactly, but there is some comfort in being historically bad if you're not going to be good. ..."
  • Oct 18 2009 Superfreakonomics - "It's not often that dry data analysis makes the news. But the new book by Steven Levitt and Stephen Dubner, a sequel to their original Freakonomics, has not been well-received. In particular, a..."
  • Oct 16 2009 Rob Vollman On Victor Hedman And - Rob Vollman has a piece at Puck Prospectus on translating players from the SEL to the NHL. He does a better job than I did over the years of figuring this stuff out by normalizing for the..."
  • Oct 16 2009 The New Anaheim Ducks Now Without - Jonathan Willis' post about the performance of Ryan Getzlaf's line this season brings up the changes that Anaheim has undergone since Brian Burke left the building not quite a year ago. The Ducks..."
  • Oct 15 2009 Charts Of The Day - "This chart shows the percentage of regular season NHL games that were decided in regulation time, going back to the 1967-68 expansion. The introduction of overtime in the 1983-84 season did..."
  • Oct 15 2009 Dont Panic - I just wanted to expand a bit on Jonathan Willis' post about how early-season shooting percentage (both for and against) is not very meaningful. Jonathan notes in another post that if we took the..."
  • Oct 13 2009 Vesa Toskala Does He Really Suck - "Vesa Toskala is a mystery to me. He's generally seen as a terrible goalie. But at even-strength, he's performed like a league-average goalie. If you believe in shot quality, he's faced tougher..."
  • Oct 13 2009 The Leafs Pk Does It Suck This Much - "I won't keep you in suspense. Yes, it does. Toronto actually spends a below-average amount of time at 4-on-5, but that's primarily because they give up so many goals that their penalty-kills end..."
  • Oct 12 2009 Giveaways And Takeaways - "If hit totals in the official NHL statistics are a little dubious, then giveaways and takeaways are on a whole other level. While the average rink records 14% more hits by the home team than by..."
  • Oct 12 2009 Lehtonen Vs Hedberg - "The Atlanta Thrashers have two goaltenders who have essentially split duties for the last two years, Kari Lehtonen and Johan Hedberg. By every metric, Lehtonen is the better goalie of the two:..."
  • Oct 11 2009 Cal Clutterbuck Worldwide Leader - "Cal Clutterbuck was credited with 356 hits last season, which set what some commentators are calling a "single-season record."Set aside for a moment that hits have only been officially collected..."
  • Oct 11 2009 Open Ice Hits - "Most hits occur along the boards. No big surprise there. But how many hits is "most"? I classified any hit inside the red area below as an open-ice hit:"
  • Oct 10 2009 Even Strength Goaltender Shot - "Shot Quality is an idea that's been around for quite a while - Alan Ryder's original study is available here (PDF). I found a little bit more data than Alan had originally, so I''ve written about..."
  • Oct 9 2009 Frequently Asked Questions 6 Shot - How does shooting distance affect shooting percentage? "
  • Oct 9 2009 Frequently Asked Questions 7 Goals - "We know who scored the most points in the NHL last season. But who did it most efficiently, and put up the most points per 60 minutes of ice time?"
  • Oct 9 2009 Frequently Asked Questions 8 - What's the next wave in hockey analysis? A group of volunteers is recording every scoring chance for the NW division - this could be as big as Project Scoresheet was in baseball once they have..."
  • Oct 9 2009 Frequently Asked Question 9 - How do we account for the Quality of Teammates in the NHL?"
  • Oct 9 2009 Frequently Asked Questions 10 Wins - How many wins are individual hockey players worth to their teams? "
  • Oct 9 2009 Frequently Asked Questions About - "I didn't originally mean for this to be a 10-part series; it just turned out that way. In an effort to highlight some of the most significant advanced statistics in hockey, I've put together a..."
  • Oct 8 2009 Frequently Asked Question 1 A - How can we improve on traditional +/- in hockey? A brief introduction to Behind the Net's advanced +/- statistics."
  • Oct 8 2009 Frequently Asked Question 2 - How do we evaluate the Quality of Competition faced by an NHL player?"
  • Oct 8 2009 Frequently Asked Questions 3 What - "So what's a "Corsi Number"and why is it so important in hockey?"
  • Oct 8 2009 Frequently Asked Questions 4 Zone - Some NHL players take lots of defensive zone draws; others get the ones in the offensive zone. How important is this ratio to their individual statistics?"
  • Oct 8 2009 Frequently Asked Questions 5 - Drawing penalties is one of the most important skills in the NHL. Yet you can't find a list of league leaders on any mainstream stats site - find out who's the best in the league at taking the..."
  • Oct 7 2009 New Puck Prospectus Piece A Basic - "I wanted to start from the basics on goaltending and estimate how many wins a goaltender can be worth to his team. I looked at 5-on-5 and 4-on-5 save percentage only (no shot "quality"..."
  • Oct 6 2009 Minnesota Vs Massachusetts High - "I've wondered periodically if we had an easy way to evaluate the difference between various high school hockey leagues. Most high school players jump to one of the USHL, NAHL or NCAA, but those..."
  • Oct 6 2009 What If Playing 5 On 3 Or With The - "I've really come to like the "what if?"shooting analysis. Sunny Mehta put the idea in my head in his guest post on Forward vs Defense shooting percentage over at Irreverent Oiler Fans. The idea..."
  • Oct 5 2009 Penalty Killers Who Take Penalties - "The Falconer posed an interesting question last week: "[what is the] effect of a PK going to the box? I did a post on "costly penalties"a couple of years ago. J.P. read my post and noted that it..."
  • Oct 2 2009 Behind The Net Stats Are On The Air - "Does anybody remember the old "SCTV is on the air"? Anyways, with the start of the NHL season, Behind the Net stats are back up and running. Some examples of what you can do with Behind the Net..."
  • Oct 1 2009 Cal Hockey Regular Season Opener - "As crazy as it seems, there's a lot of hockey being played in California these days, including at the college level. Cal (aka UC Berkeley for those of you who don't follow football) opens the..."
  • Sep 30 2009 Impact Of Toi On Rookie Scoring In - "There were 40 players who made the jump from AHL regulars to NHL regulars last season. That is, they played 40 games in the AHL in 2007-08 and 40 games in the NHL in 2008-09. They retained, on..."
  • Sep 30 2009 Pacific Division Previews - "Over the last month, I wrote previews for the Pacific Division over at Puck Prospectus. The order of finish comes from Tom Awad's VUKOTA projection system, which is further based on Tom's GVT..."
  • Sep 29 2009 For Fans Of Shot Quality - "We now have four years of consistent shot data since the lockout, which gives us x-y location data for all goals, shots on goal and missed shots (among many other things.) I've previously used..."
  • Sep 29 2009 Whats The Matter With Madison - "You don't normally think of "rink effects"like "park effects"in baseball. Sure, there were the smaller ice surfaces at the old Boston Garden (191x83), or the Buffalo Auditorium (194x84), or the..."
  • Sep 28 2009 Behind The Net Blog Moves To Sb - "It has been years in the making, but Behind the Net's blog has finally moved to nicer digs. You may have seen my work in the Wall Street Journal, ESPN, Puck Prospectus or this year's Toronto Maple..."
  • Sep 15 2009 Top Scorers On Rebounds 2005 09 - The NHL statistical database has been consistent for the four seasons since the lockout (Missed Shots were excluded in the two seasons prior to it). Here are the rebound scoring leaders: Player..."
  • Sep 15 2009 Put Down Your Iphones The 2009 10 - http://metasparcsw.com/images/screenshots/TouchHockey_Playing.jpg"
  • Sep 12 2009 New And Improved Statistical Reports - I modified the 5-on-5 statistical reports for 2008-09 so that they're vastly easier to use. There are four reports:Corsi ReportQuality of Competition ReportGoal-Scoring ReportPenalties Drawn/Taken..."
  • Aug 28 2009 Defensive Systems And Their Impact On - "As we saw a few weeks ago, Jacques Lemaire?s defensive system substantially limits the rate at which opponents take high-percentage shots against his teams. This effect has been persistent over the..."
  • Aug 24 2009 Whl 2003 04 Quality Of Competition - "Following up on this table, here are 5v5 Quality of Competition percentiles for each of the players. (Quality of Competition is calculated using Willis' method with the following modifications -..."
  • Aug 19 2009 New Puck Prospectus Article Shot - "Niklas Backstrom is a mystery to me - is he a great goalie? Or did Minnesota limit his exposure. The Wild's Chris Snow clearly feels that both are true. Depending on your angle, the numbers back up..."
  • Aug 18 2009 Mlb Signing Bonuses - "I haven't found much reason to write about major league baseball recently, but this piece by Jayson Stark about the MLB draft really irks me:Draft in desperate need of repairStephen Strasburg just..."
  • Aug 7 2009 New Puck Prospectus Post Dangers Of - "What are the risks of losing a faceoff in the defensive zone in comparison to the neutral zone, and does a coach`s usage of players in faceoffs affect player performance?h..."
  • Aug 6 2009 Derriere Le Filet Avec Or Sans Saku - "Apr?s quinze ans ? Montr?al, l'?re Saku Koivu est officiellement termin?e. Soit d?monis? ou sanctifi?, selon le jour de la semaine, il faisait partie des Canadiens toute ma vie d'adulte et a jou?..."
  • Aug 3 2009 Giveaways - "Not surprisingly, giveaways have a highly-negative defensive impact. The peak shot rate against following a giveaway is as high as during a 5-on-3:Of course, not all defensive zone giveaways are..."
  • Aug 1 2009 Defensemans Impact Contd - I was initially only going to look at the performance of replacement level defensemen to see if their inclusion in the lineup had any additional negative impact relative to that of losing a #1 or..."
  • Jul 30 2009 Defensemans Impact On Offense - I might as well re-run the previous post on the offensive end of the ice: IN OUT GP G/GP S+G/GP SVPCT GP G/GP S+G/GP SVPCT DELTAN=28 Better +/- 1610 1.89 21.77 913.3 686 1.71 21.16 919.1 5.8N=25..."
  • Jul 29 2009 Do Defensemen Influence Save Percentage - [Note: this methodology is similar to a previous analysis of replacement level: http://www.behindthenet.ca/blog/2008/04/replacement-level-how-many-wins-do.html. It is obvious that teams do worse..."
  • Jul 28 2009 New Puck Prospectus Post Pulling Goalie - "at the end of the game, there is no value to having played it safe and having lost by only one goal. In the last two minutes of regulation time, scoring rates increase dramatically as the team..."
  • Jul 28 2009 Shooting Percentage Estimation Errors - "I recently found location data for missed shots going back four years, so I decided to compare shooting percentage estimates with and without missed shots. When missed shots are included, the high..."
  • Jul 16 2009 Do Fighters Ever Prosper - "New column on Puck Prospectus:http://www.puckprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=222"I looked at every fight during the 2008-09 season where one player received was voted the winner by at least..."
  • Jul 14 2009 Goaltender Pairs And 5v5 Rebounds - Here are all of the 2008-09 Goaltending pairs where shot totals were roughly even. Draw your own conclusions...NameTeamSHREB%REB%SPCTJonas Hiller ANH8484.127.9932J. Giguere ANH8813.515.78913Kari..."
  • Jul 14 2009 Goaltender Rebound Percentage Leaders - "In his work on Shot Quality, Alan Ryder noted that shooting percentage is extremely high on rebounds. That is, in the two seconds following another shot. The overall save percentages for 2008-09:O..."
  • Jul 13 2009 Variations On Theme Different - "One very nice innovation on Quality of Competition came from Jonathan Willis at Copper 'n Blue. In order to calculate Quality of Competition, you normally need 1) TOI totals for every player; and..."
  • Jul 11 2009 Hockeyfightscom Top Ten Fights Of 2008 - "As voted by the fans. I still don't know why this list doesn't appear on the front page of Hockeyfights.com, but I will happily provide it periodically as a "public service":RatingDescriptionWinnerV..."
  • Jul 11 2009 Leveraged Icetime Leaders - "I'll introduce the details behind leverage later, but for now I'll just give a short explanation. I'm going to define the leverage of a game state - that is, goal differential and time remaining in..."
  • Jul 9 2009 Khl Nhl Equivalency With Toi - "The value of keeping better statistics has finally moved past the NHL, with the top Finnish, Swedish and Russian leagues tracking and publishing ice time figures for every player. There's very..."
  • Jul 9 2009 Wsj Article Nhl Teams Hunt For Talent - It's tough to fit into their 250-word limit:http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204261704574276204110346362.html"
  • Jul 7 2009 Puck Prospectus Analyzing Sharks - "http://www.puckprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=216"One of the downsides of writing about hockey statistics is not necessarily getting to watch all that much hockey. So I decided to watch video..."
  • Jul 3 2009 Joe Thorntons Giveaways Bad For Sharks - "Joe Thornton made one particularly egregious giveaway this season. Unfortunately, it was at 14:04 of the 3rd period in Game 4 of the first round of the playoffs, making the score 3-0 Ducks and..."
  • Jun 28 2009 Swedish Elite League Nhle With Toi - "My attempts to analyze NHL Equivalencies have always been hampered by the question of usage. The NHL has published player ice time (TOI) data for over ten years, but other leagues have been slower..."
  • Jun 23 2009 New Article On Puck Prospectus - "http://puckprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=192"Overall, Minnesota hockey translates to the NCAA (NHLE = 0.41) at approximately 0.18, giving an NHLE of 0.073. The translation to the USHL is..."
  • Jun 19 2009 New Article On Puck Prospectus One Goal - "http://www.puckprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=188"While the trend is certainly downwards as scoring increases, several points confirm that it's possible to have both high-scoring and a high..."
  • Jun 12 2009 Odds Not In Pittsburghs Favor - "The Vegas line for the Pittsburgh Penguins winning Game Seven tomorrow night in Detroit has been edging ever slowly against them. Twenty-four hours ago, a six-sports book average had them at 37.4%..."
  • Jun 7 2009 Stanley Cup Successes Failures And Non - "One the eve of a potential cup win for the Detroit Red Wings, here are a few answers to your Stanley Cup trivia questions...Most Wins:Henri Richard 11Jean Beliveau 10Claude Provost 9Red Kelly 8M..."
  • Jun 1 2009 New Puck Prospectus Post Right Guy In - "http://puckprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=160"With an unproven goalie, teams can not tolerate a losing streak, so newly-arrived goaltenders have to play well immediately in the NHL. The..."
  • May 21 2009 New Column On Espncom - "Who plays the Toughest Minutes?"Big-Minute Men: Who are teams putting on the ice in the key moments of the game? Who are the centers taking the key draws? Who are the defensive pairings in the..."
  • May 7 2009 New Puck Prospectus Post What Power - "http://puckprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=120"After the 2007-08 season, the NHL changed a rule in order to increase offense on the power play. In the past, when a penalty was called, the..."
  • Apr 29 2009 Shooting Percentage By Location Of - Here's the save percentage by right- and left-handed goalies during the 2008-09 season:I'll admit that I'm not completely sure what's interesting about this data - I have it for every goaltender..."
  • Apr 25 2009 2008 09 5v5 Goaltender Performance - "Last year, I posted my methodology for calculating the quality of shots faced by a goaltender, along with the results of this analysis. The 2008-09 results are below (minimum 700 minutes played at..."
  • Apr 23 2009 Playoff Performance By Age - "There's no question that scoring rates drop during the playoffs, but James Mirtle wonders if it's fair to count "every game as being equal, whether those postseason games were played as an..."
  • Apr 23 2009 Swallowing Whistle - "Since the early 1990s, many fewer penalties have been called in playoff games than during the regular season, with the ratio dropping as low as 74%. But for the vast majority of seasons before..."
  • Apr 14 2009 New Puck Prospectus Article Stanley Cup - "The key to predicting the performance of hockey teams is figuring out their "true talent,"which is easier said than done. In baseball, numerous people make reasonable projections of playing time..."
  • Apr 11 2009 New Post On Puck Prospectus Plus And - Hockey is usually not the sport where statistical or analytical innovation takes place. So it's ironic that one of the most useful concepts in sports statistics has been an official NHL statistic..."
  • Apr 11 2009 Playoff Offensive Levels 1968 2008 - "One unsurprising result here: there are fewer goals scored in the playoffs than during the regular season. If you're down by three in the second during the regular season, you'll probably rest your..."
  • Apr 7 2009 New Post On Puck Prospectus Hockeys - "Let's start with a simple hypothetical. Imagine you have never been to a hockey game before. The referee drops the puck and five on five play begins with both teams forechecking, playing defense..."
  • Mar 17 2009 Historical Tax Rates - http://tax-tricks.blogspot.com/2009/06/historical-tax-rates.html"
  • Mar 17 2009 Shootout Length Model Vs Actual - Here is the data from 2005-2009 shootouts compared to my simple model (assume all shooters have a 33% chance of scoring.) Short shootouts are far more likely to occur than predicted:This isn't..."
  • Mar 10 2009 Average Number Of Shots In Shootout - "A friend of mine asked me how many shots their were in an average shootout. I'll admit that I gave a wildly incorrect guess, but I wanted to know the answer to his question, so I wrote a little..."
  • Mar 7 2009 Look Up Nhl Standings For Any Day 2003 - "ESPN has this feature for baseball standings, but apparently not for the NHL. Here's what I put together:Standings for 12/21/2003So you can see that the Leafs were inexplicably tied for first place..."
  • Mar 6 2009 Cant Buy Goal - "[To appear in "The Committed Indian", the unofficial Chicago Blackhawks game day program.]During the 2004 lockout, I watched former NHLer Eric Cairns play for the London Racers of the English Ice..."
  • Feb 27 2009 Week Of Puck Prospectus - "I was quite interested to see the launch of Puck Prospectus, Baseball Prospectus' entry into hockey analysis. While there are lots of people doing hockey analysis, both inside the NHL and on their..."
  • Feb 9 2009 Non Hockey Post Yet Again - http://tax-tricks.blogspot.com/2009/06/past-recessions.html"
  • Feb 6 2009 More Gladwell Spoiler Hes Wrong - "[This originally appeared in the "Committed Indian", the unofficial Chicago Blackhawks program...]If you've got a friend in business - sales guy, MBA, doesn't matter - you've probably heard him..."
  • Feb 5 2009 Top 25 Fights On Hockeyfightscom 2006 - "This isn't exactly a statistical post, but I was looking over hockeyfights.com (purportedly the 7th-most popular hockey site on the internet) and I noticed that there was no way to rank fights..."
  • Jan 14 2009 How Does Scoring In Junior Predict - "In the past, I've examined how scoring translates from junior hockey to the NHL, but I haven't really considered how likely it is to get left by the wayside and not make the transition to the NHL...."
  • Jan 8 2009 Looking Back At 2002 Moneyball Draft - "[Non-hockey post, yet again...]Something I read today prompted me to take my annual look at the so-called 'Moneyball' Draft, where the Oakland Athletics had seven first-round picks and selected,..."
  • Dec 27 2008 2008 Holiday Spending - http://tax-tricks.blogspot.com/2009/06/2008-holiday-spending.html"
  • Dec 24 2008 Dangers Of Overtime Losses - "While the shootout and the overtime loss have probably made the NHL more exciting for fans, the way they're presented in the standings has made it very difficult to determine how good a team is...."
  • Dec 11 2008 Malcolm Gladwells Outliers And Making - "In his book Outliers, Malcolm Gladwell discusses the odd distribution of birth months among NHL players. Because youth players are registered in leagues based on their year of birth, the biggest..."
  • Dec 9 2008 Scoring Probability Vs Length Of 2 Man - "I was asked recently about how the length of a 5-on-3 affects the rate at which teams score. Obviously, very few 5-on-3s run a full two minutes - it's both rare to take two penalties at once, and..."
  • Nov 19 2008 New Stats Components Of Quality Of - "I added some Quality of Competition statistics to the site. You can now see the components of QUALCOMP (that is: opponents' GF/60 and GA/60, both on- and off-ice). Here's On-Ice GF/60:Opponent's..."
  • Nov 18 2008 Monkey Pollster Vs 538com - Moved to:http://tax-tricks.blogspot.com/2009/06/monkey-pollster-vs-fivethirtyeightcom.html"
  • Nov 18 2008 Originally Appeared In Nov - "[Originally appeared in the Nov. 16, 2008 edition of 'The Committed Indian', the unofficial Chicago Black Hawks program...]Can you imagine baseball fans across the country getting excited about a..."
  • Oct 7 2008 Nothing New In Nhl Feed - Take a look here:http://www.nhl.com/scores/htmlreports/20082009/PL020002.HTMThere is nothing new in this year's feed. I would have liked coordinate data for shots (which is already available for..."
  • Oct 5 2008 Behindthenet Stats Are Back - "The NHL's 2008-09 season is underway and Behindthenet has advanced statistics...For all two games that have been played thus far!We will publish the same statistics as last year, with daily..."
  • Oct 5 2008 Russian Khl League Equivalency To Date - "The 2008-09 KHL season is about 14 games in, and we can take our first stab at producing a league equivalency. There are 23 skaters in the KHL who played at least 20 games in the NHL last year...."
  • Sep 23 2008 Nhl Feed Is Back In Business - The NHL 2008-09 data feed is up for exhibition games. It doesn't look like the NHL has added any useful information to the feed this year. Let me know if you see otherwise..."
  • Sep 15 2008 Home Ice Faceoff Advantage - Someone asked me recently if there was any advantage to being able to put your stick down second for a face-off (as the home team's centerman does.) Let's look at the home-road numbers for 2003-08:#..."
  • Sep 8 2008 Canadian Junior Ncaamajor Junior - "I now have five-to-seven years of player data for Canadian Junior A leagues, so it's now possible to generate equivalencies for each league. I ran the data for British Columbia (BCHL), Alberta..."
  • Jun 16 2008 2007 08 5v5 Goaltender Performance Full - "I finally ran the full-season's worth of shot quality/goaltending statistics (see Mid-Season stats.) There was some discussion over at James Mirtle's site, with some people claiming that Evgeni..."
  • Jun 2 2008 Replacement Level Redux Goals Vs Wins - "In the comments section for my previous post, Tom Tango pointed out that it would be interesting to see the breakdown of goals for and against when defensemen and forwards are missing from the..."
  • Apr 17 2008 Replacement Level How Many Wins Do - "Replacement level can be a bit difficult to define in hockey. Unlike baseball, where Derek Jeter gets hurt and all his playing time goes to a guy who has yet to prove he can hit AAA pitching, an..."
  • Apr 16 2008 How Does Nhl Coachs Age Affect His - "Thanks to hockey-reference.com's new and better-organized data, I was able to hammer out a project I've been thinking about for months in about half an hour yesterday. I read a baseball article..."
  • Apr 15 2008 Hockey Referencecom Best Historical Nhl - "If you're even remotely like me, you've pored over hockeydb.com many times, reconstructing the careers of players you remember from your childhood. The numbers don't often match the memories...I..."
  • Mar 3 2008 Leafs In Playoffs Nah - "Can Leafs overcome the odds? Just when it seemed that any chance of reaching the post-season was lost, hope has been rekindled...Toronto Star, March 3rd, 2008 [link here]Hope certainly springs..."
  • Feb 12 2008 Nhls Best Bargains For Bucks - "One unfortunate thing that happens when advanced statistics begin to permeate sports is that you end up with cheap imitations. An example: Bill James started with a well-thought-out framework, came..."
  • Jan 29 2008 Even Strength Scoring Rate Before And - "I was looking at James Mirtle's post on how the new penalty/refereeing regime has changed the NHL, post-lockout, and I started wondering if we could see a difference in even-strength scoring rates...."
  • Jan 1 2008 Kyle Okposo And Projecting Ncaa To Nhl - "Kyle Okposo made a few headlines this week: after the World Junior Championships are over, he's quitting the University of Minnesota and joining the New York Islanders. He was drafted 7th overall..."
  • Dec 30 2007 What Happens When You Pull Your Goalie - "Someone asked me the other day what teams expect to happen when they pull their goalies at the end of the game. My answer, qualitatively, was that it increases the likelihood of a goal - either for..."
  • Dec 28 2007 Zetterberg Vs Lecavalier Defensively - "There was a particularly insightful post over at Irreverent Oiler Fans comparing Henrik Zetterberg to Vincent Lecavalier. The gist of it is that their offensive stats may be comparable, but when..."
  • Dec 27 2007 Economic Prospects Of Hockey Player - "I grew up in Winnipeg, surrounded by a lot of very good hockey players. When we were 12 or 13 years old, it was a foregone conclusion that some of them would get drafted and end up in the NHL...."
  • Dec 25 2007 2007 08 4v5 Goaltender Performance - "Scoring rates go way up on the power-play, making it a goaltender's toughest assignment. (Ray Emery fighting Andrew Peters doesn't count.) To quantify the difference, here's the same plot as we had..."
  • Dec 24 2007 2007 08 5v5 Goaltender Performance - "I've put together a simple first-order system to analyze goaltender performance. First, I calculated the probability of scoring from 2x2-foot quadrants using data from 2001 through last week's..."
  • Dec 20 2007 Shooting Percentage By Zone - "I spend a lot of time looking at the NHL's data feed, and sometimes I forget that there's often more data available on ESPN's feed. In particular, while the NHL still only gives you shot distance..."
  • Dec 19 2007 Nothing Happens Line - "Anaheim is one of the last teams to use a real checking line as its third line. Last season, the Niedermayer-Pahlsson-Moen combination played together almost 90% of the time. Injuries at the..."
  • Dec 17 2007 Starting In Nhl As Teenager Does Mean - "Getting to the big time early doesn't necessarily mean you've made it big. Or to stay. - Damien Cox, ESPN.com, 12/12/07 in Starting in NHL as a teenager doesn't mean instant success.Sometimes you..."
  • Dec 11 2007 Behindthenet On Ny Times Slapshot - "Now the New York Times is hardly the arbiter of hockey, but they were nice enough to put Behindthenet on their NY Times Slapshot Blogroll. And of course, we're first on the list due to alphabetical..."
  • Dec 6 2007 Player Log List Now Sortable By Team - "Again, easier on the eyes...Check out:http://behindthenet.ca/2007/players.phpIf there's anything else you think should be on the site, let me know..."
  • Dec 5 2007 Leader Board Times Players Shot Was - "This is the first year that the NHL has listed whose shot was blocked in their feed. Alexander Ovechkin leads #2 Heatley by a huge margin - after Heatley, I removed a lot of defensemen who are more..."
  • Dec 4 2007 More Refinements - Not everybody wants to cut and paste the entire stats database into a spreadsheet just to be able to sort their favorite team's players. So you now have the ability to select only one particular..."
  • Dec 3 2007 Lay Off Patrick Marleau - "San Jose Sharks Captain Patrick Marleau has been taking a lot of flak for his play this year, and it's true, it all you looked at were his most basic stats, it doesn't seem like he's having a good..."
  • Nov 29 2007 Few More Refinements - "Some small refinements today, all by popular request:1) Added Home/Away tags to the player game logs, so you can see the home ice advantage in line-matching.2) Added Goals Scored, 1st Assists and..."
  • Nov 26 2007 Behindthenet Big Among Stats Junkies - "Rand Simon thinks so:"PLAYING AGAINST THE BEST If you are a stats junkie like me, I suggest you check out the website Behind the Net.My favorite stat there is the "Quality of Competition"which..."
  • Nov 26 2007 Lots Of Hits On Ushl Article - The short column I wrote the level of play in the USHL has generated a lot of interest in the last couple of days.Marc Foster's junior hockey blog made reference to it:Junior Hockey BlogAnd the..."
  • Nov 26 2007 Stats Database For 2007 08 What Else - "Behindthenet's 2007-08 statistics database is just about completely up-and-running. Here's what we've got:1. Team Statistics [new for 2007-08]2. Player Statistics, 5-on-53. Game Logs for Players,..."
  • Apr 12 2007 Playoff Stats Are Up - "It took a little while, but all of the Behindthenet stats are available for the playoffs. I'm hoping to update at least every other day.One sad note: the NHL isn't going to post shift charts from..."
  • Apr 9 2007 Goalie Statistics - "I added some basic goalie stats:http://www.behindthenet.ca/goalies.php?sort=10They show: shots, missed shots (ie - post/wide) and goals on a per 60 minute basis for 5-on-5 and 5-on-4 situations."
  • Mar 26 2007 Drawing Penalties - "I've received a few questions about the "Penalties Drawn"statistics. Most people want to know why I record who's on the ice for the penalty as opposed to recording which individual drew the..."
  • Mar 24 2007 Updates - "I fixed an odd bug today: in games where the Tampa Bay Lighting were shut out, my parsing programs would find Martin St. Louis and assume - because of the 'St. Louis' - that the Blues were playing...."
  • Mar 21 2007 Ottawa Senators Pk - "I was reading some discussion of the Ottawa Senators over on HFBoards (http://hfboards.com/showthread.php?t=360266&page=2 in case you're interested.)Here's a comment:"Kelly/Vermette have by far the..."
  • Mar 20 2007 Pp Stats This Time - "More from James Mirtle: (thanks for the link, btw!)http://tinyurl.com/2x9z6y (That's really from the Globe and Mail, but the url is too long)A commenter points out that while Ryder, Koivu, Higgins,..."
  • Mar 19 2007 Trading Deadline Interim Onoff Ice - "Sometimes it's hard to tell how a team did at the trading deadline. Goals and Assists over 20 games can be misleading, and you never know who to give credit to when a team starts doing better as a..."
  • Mar 19 2007 Who Is Nhls Best Penalty Killer - James Mirtle has some analysis of the Behind the Net Penalty-Kill statistics over at his blog:http://mirtle.blogspot.com/2007/03/who-is-nhls-best-penalty-killer.htmlVancouver's top PK unit..."
  • Mar 18 2007 Welcome To Behindthenet Blog - "As you can see, Behindthenet is mostly statistics these days. This wasn't intentional - I'm more of a fan of written content - but the amount of time required to collect and generate statistics..."

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