Tuesday, July 14, 2009

Goaltender Rebound Percentage Leaders

In his work on Shot Quality, Alan Ryder noted that shooting percentage is extremely high on rebounds. That is, in the two seconds following another shot. The overall save percentages for 2008-09:



Overall1-2 s3 s4 s
919694807892

After four seconds, shooting percentages are in the low-to-mid 900s. So it is significant to look at what percentage of a goalie's shots are rebounds allowed less than 2, 3 and 4 seconds after a previous shot. Here are the league "leaders":












GoaliePCT<2sPCT<3sPCT<4s
EVGENI NABOKOV5.5267.61
MIIKKA KIPRUSOFF5.336.248.25
CAM WARD5.316.387.09
CHRIS OSGOOD5.255.596.48
MATHIEU GARON5.195.736.55
MICHAEL LEIGHTON5.166.257.06
MARTIN BRODEUR5.085.726.67
TOMAS VOKOUN4.986.638.2
MANNY FERNANDEZ4.685.816.78
PETER BUDAJ4.595.376.06

And at the other end:












GoaliePCT<2sPCT<3sPCT<4s
CHRIS MASON3.254.425.96
STEVE MASON3.244.436.22
KARRI RAMO3.215.227.22
ERIK ERSBERG3.184.675.09
JONATHAN QUICK3.083.775.71
JASON LABARBERA34.65.61
RYAN MILLER2.843.845.76
BRENT JOHNSON2.693.924.9
MARTIN GERBER2.63.94.72
JOSH HARDING1.793.585.67

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Comments:
Intriguing post. Commentators often talk about a goaltender's rebound control as an important skill. Do you think these numbers have more to do with the style of the goaltender or the strength of the defense? It's very likely some of both, but it would be interesting to compare starters/backups that had a reasonably even split. Do you know if there is a full list (instead of just leaders)?
 
Interesting comment. I have the entire list - I'll post the numbers for guys who split time, and also run it for last year.
 
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