Thursday, July 9, 2009
KHL->NHL Equivalency with TOI
The value of keeping better statistics has finally moved past the NHL, with the top Finnish, Swedish and Russian leagues tracking and publishing ice time figures for every player. There's very little player movement between the NHL and Finland, but there's enough to generate an NHL Equivalency for the other two leagues that accounts for playing time differences.
Here are the Russian (KHL) and Swedish summaries:
This gives equivalencies of 0.57 for the SEL and 0.54 for the KHL. Adjusting for icetime differences, the NHLEs are 0.78 (SEL) and 0.67 (KHL). The Russian figures are surprisingly low - in the past, the top Russian league was better than the SEL, and approached the caliber of the NHL in some cases.
Here are the Russian (KHL) and Swedish summaries:
N TOI OTH TOI NHL % TOI OTH/82 NHL/82 SAME TOI
KHL 23 18.0 14.5 80.8 45 24 30
SEL 15 17.9 14.0 77.8 38 22 28
This gives equivalencies of 0.57 for the SEL and 0.54 for the KHL. Adjusting for icetime differences, the NHLEs are 0.78 (SEL) and 0.67 (KHL). The Russian figures are surprisingly low - in the past, the top Russian league was better than the SEL, and approached the caliber of the NHL in some cases.
Labels: Equivalencies
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So, to predict the numbers for a guy leaving the NHL to go to the KHL, I'd go about this how-so? Like, what would Jiri Hudler's projection be?
You would take Hudler's points-per-game (57/82 = 0.7) and divide that by 0.54 -> 1.29. He'd have 72 points in a 56 game KHL season.
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